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Desporto·UFC

Quem será o campeão peso pena do UFC no final de 2026?

Market icon
Desporto·UFC

Quem será o campeão peso pena do UFC no final de 2026?

Alexander Volkanovski 53%

Movsar Evloev 25%

Lerone Murphy 7.2%

Steve Garcia 2.8%

Polymarket
NOVO

Alexander Volkanovski 53%

Movsar Evloev 25%

Lerone Murphy 7.2%

Steve Garcia 2.8%

Polymarket
NOVO

Alexander Volkanovski

$787 Vol.

46%

Movsar Evloev

$4,450 Vol.

25%

Lerone Murphy

$1,314 Vol.

7%

Steve Garcia

$0 Vol.

3%

Arnold Allen

$418 Vol.

1%

Aljamain Sterling

$338 Vol.

1%

Youssef Zalal

$0 Vol.

1%

Brian Ortega

$451 Vol.

1%

Diego Lopes

$482 Vol.

<1%

Yair Rodriguez

$0 Vol.

<1%

Jean Silva

$0 Vol.

36%

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Featherweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).Alexander Volkanovski leads trader consensus at 46% implied probability as the reigning UFC featherweight champion after unanimous decision defenses over Diego Lopes in UFC 314 (April 2025) and UFC 325 (January 31, 2026), tying Jose Aldo's record for most title wins in division history and showcasing his elite wrestling and cardio. Movsar Evloev's 24.5% reflects his undefeated 20-0 record solidified by a majority decision main event victory over Lerone Murphy at UFC London on March 21, positioning him as #1 contender with reports indicating UFC favoring him over others for Volkanovski's next defense. Jean Silva's 27% stems from recent knockout momentum and vocal title shot campaigning, despite coach pushback and lower rankings, highlighting his stylistic upset potential amid a competitive title picture through year-end.

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Featherweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.

Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.

If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Volume
$8,240
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jan 2, 2026, 6:24 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Featherweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Featherweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).Alexander Volkanovski leads trader consensus at 46% implied probability as the reigning UFC featherweight champion after unanimous decision defenses over Diego Lopes in UFC 314 (April 2025) and UFC 325 (January 31, 2026), tying Jose Aldo's record for most title wins in division history and showcasing his elite wrestling and cardio. Movsar Evloev's 24.5% reflects his undefeated 20-0 record solidified by a majority decision main event victory over Lerone Murphy at UFC London on March 21, positioning him as #1 contender with reports indicating UFC favoring him over others for Volkanovski's next defense. Jean Silva's 27% stems from recent knockout momentum and vocal title shot campaigning, despite coach pushback and lower rankings, highlighting his stylistic upset potential amid a competitive title picture through year-end.

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Featherweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.

Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.

If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Volume
$8,240
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jan 2, 2026, 6:24 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Featherweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Quem será o campeão peso pena do UFC no final de 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Alexander Volkanovski" at 46%, followed by "Jean Silva" at 36%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 46¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 46% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Quem será o campeão peso pena do UFC no final de 2026?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jan 2, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Quem será o campeão peso pena do UFC no final de 2026?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Quem será o campeão peso pena do UFC no final de 2026?" is "Alexander Volkanovski" at 46%, meaning the market assigns a 46% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Jean Silva" at 36%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Quem será o campeão peso pena do UFC no final de 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.