UFC bantamweight champion Petr Yan's trader consensus favors Merab Dvalishvili at 65% implied probability for his next bout, driven by recent trilogy talk following Yan's unanimous decision title win over Dvalishvili at UFC 323 in December 2025. Dvalishvili stated last week that both fighters are cleared and ready for a summer rubber match, potentially at International Fight Week in July, aligning with Yan's post-surgery recovery timeline—he underwent minor back surgery in January, returned to training in late March, and targets a June-August return per his Ariel Helwani interview. Sean O'Malley trails at 12.3% amid his public skepticism on Yan rushing a Dvalishvili rematch, while Umar Nurmagomedov and others lag due to lacking direct recent matchmaking buzz in the crowded contender picture.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoMerab Dvalishvili 60%
Sean O’Malley 10.5%
Umar Nurmagomedov 5.6%
Payton Talbott 3.2%
$191,762 Vol.
$191,762 Vol.
Merab Dvalishvili
63%
Sean O’Malley
11%
Umar Nurmagomedov
6%
Payton Talbott
3%
Alexandre Pantoja
1%
Ricky Simón
1%
Cory Sandhagen
1%
Deiveson Figueiredo
1%
Rob Font
<1%
Alexander Volkanovski
<1%
Dominick Cruz
<1%
Song Yadong
<1%
Pedro Munhoz
<1%
Henry Cejudo
<1%
Merab Dvalishvili 60%
Sean O’Malley 10.5%
Umar Nurmagomedov 5.6%
Payton Talbott 3.2%
$191,762 Vol.
$191,762 Vol.
Merab Dvalishvili
63%
Sean O’Malley
11%
Umar Nurmagomedov
6%
Payton Talbott
3%
Alexandre Pantoja
1%
Ricky Simón
1%
Cory Sandhagen
1%
Deiveson Figueiredo
1%
Rob Font
<1%
Alexander Volkanovski
<1%
Dominick Cruz
<1%
Song Yadong
<1%
Pedro Munhoz
<1%
Henry Cejudo
<1%
Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Petr Yan is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place.
Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count.
If Yan is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/).
Mercado Aberto: Dec 8, 2025, 5:17 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Petr Yan is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place.
Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count.
If Yan is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...UFC bantamweight champion Petr Yan's trader consensus favors Merab Dvalishvili at 65% implied probability for his next bout, driven by recent trilogy talk following Yan's unanimous decision title win over Dvalishvili at UFC 323 in December 2025. Dvalishvili stated last week that both fighters are cleared and ready for a summer rubber match, potentially at International Fight Week in July, aligning with Yan's post-surgery recovery timeline—he underwent minor back surgery in January, returned to training in late March, and targets a June-August return per his Ariel Helwani interview. Sean O'Malley trails at 12.3% amid his public skepticism on Yan rushing a Dvalishvili rematch, while Umar Nurmagomedov and others lag due to lacking direct recent matchmaking buzz in the crowded contender picture.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
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