Trader consensus heavily favors bantamweight champion Petr Yan rematching Merab Dvalishvili next at 71% implied probability, driven by their 1-1 rivalry—Dvalishvili's 2023 decision win followed by Yan's dominant unanimous decision title reclamation at UFC 323 in December 2025—and recent statements confirming a trilogy target for July International Fight Week. Yan, recovering from January back surgery and resuming full training soon, stated his opponent is pre-decided regardless of UFC 324 outcomes, while Dvalishvili insists on waiting despite a fresh broken nose injury. Sean O'Malley trails at 17% as the #3-ranked former champ with stylistic intrigue, but lower volumes reflect Yan's title defense priority over Umar Nurmagomedov or other contenders amid Yan's top pound-for-pound ascent.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoMerab Dvalishvili 67%
Sean O’Malley 27.3%
Umar Nurmagomedov 5.5%
Cory Sandhagen 3.3%
$191,851 Vol.
$191,851 Vol.
Merab Dvalishvili
67%
Sean O’Malley
16%
Umar Nurmagomedov
6%
Cory Sandhagen
3%
Payton Talbott
2%
Alexandre Pantoja
1%
Ricky Simón
1%
Deiveson Figueiredo
1%
Rob Font
<1%
Alexander Volkanovski
<1%
Song Yadong
<1%
Pedro Munhoz
<1%
Dominick Cruz
<1%
Henry Cejudo
<1%
Merab Dvalishvili 67%
Sean O’Malley 27.3%
Umar Nurmagomedov 5.5%
Cory Sandhagen 3.3%
$191,851 Vol.
$191,851 Vol.
Merab Dvalishvili
67%
Sean O’Malley
16%
Umar Nurmagomedov
6%
Cory Sandhagen
3%
Payton Talbott
2%
Alexandre Pantoja
1%
Ricky Simón
1%
Deiveson Figueiredo
1%
Rob Font
<1%
Alexander Volkanovski
<1%
Song Yadong
<1%
Pedro Munhoz
<1%
Dominick Cruz
<1%
Henry Cejudo
<1%
Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Petr Yan is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place.
Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count.
If Yan is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/).
Mercado Aberto: Dec 8, 2025, 5:17 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Petr Yan is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place.
Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count.
If Yan is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors bantamweight champion Petr Yan rematching Merab Dvalishvili next at 71% implied probability, driven by their 1-1 rivalry—Dvalishvili's 2023 decision win followed by Yan's dominant unanimous decision title reclamation at UFC 323 in December 2025—and recent statements confirming a trilogy target for July International Fight Week. Yan, recovering from January back surgery and resuming full training soon, stated his opponent is pre-decided regardless of UFC 324 outcomes, while Dvalishvili insists on waiting despite a fresh broken nose injury. Sean O'Malley trails at 17% as the #3-ranked former champ with stylistic intrigue, but lower volumes reflect Yan's title defense priority over Umar Nurmagomedov or other contenders amid Yan's top pound-for-pound ascent.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions