Mercedes holds a commanding lead in the 2026 F1 Constructors' Championship with 135 points after the opening three Grands Prix in Australia, China, and Japan, where Kimi Antonelli and George Russell delivered multiple podiums including 1-2 finishes and zero DNFs, showcasing superior race pace, pit stop execution, and reliability under new power unit and active aerodynamics regulations. Ferrari trails at 90 points with consistent results from Charles Leclerc and Lewis Hamilton, positioning them as the primary challenger and reflecting trader consensus at 10.5% implied probability. McLaren sits third on 46 points amid flashes of speed like Oscar Piastri's Japanese GP runner-up, but inconsistency caps their 7.4% odds. Red Bull's midfield struggles, evidenced by Max Verstappen's low points haul, have eroded their 1.6% standing, while newcomers like Audi and Cadillac lag far behind in a long 24-race season prone to upgrades and surprises.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoMercedes 78%
Ferrari 11%
McLaren 7.4%
Red Bull Racing 1.6%
$9,723,847 Vol.
$9,723,847 Vol.

Mercedes
78%

Ferrari
11%

McLaren
7%

Red Bull Racing
2%

Williams
1%

Aston Martin
1%

Audi
1%

Cadillac
1%

Racing Bulls
1%

Haas
1%

Alpine
1%
Mercedes 78%
Ferrari 11%
McLaren 7.4%
Red Bull Racing 1.6%
$9,723,847 Vol.
$9,723,847 Vol.

Mercedes
78%

Ferrari
11%

McLaren
7%

Red Bull Racing
2%

Williams
1%

Aston Martin
1%

Audi
1%

Cadillac
1%

Racing Bulls
1%

Haas
1%

Alpine
1%
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
Mercado Aberto: Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Mercedes holds a commanding lead in the 2026 F1 Constructors' Championship with 135 points after the opening three Grands Prix in Australia, China, and Japan, where Kimi Antonelli and George Russell delivered multiple podiums including 1-2 finishes and zero DNFs, showcasing superior race pace, pit stop execution, and reliability under new power unit and active aerodynamics regulations. Ferrari trails at 90 points with consistent results from Charles Leclerc and Lewis Hamilton, positioning them as the primary challenger and reflecting trader consensus at 10.5% implied probability. McLaren sits third on 46 points amid flashes of speed like Oscar Piastri's Japanese GP runner-up, but inconsistency caps their 7.4% odds. Red Bull's midfield struggles, evidenced by Max Verstappen's low points haul, have eroded their 1.6% standing, while newcomers like Audi and Cadillac lag far behind in a long 24-race season prone to upgrades and surprises.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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Frequently Asked Questions