Trader consensus favors Max Verstappen at 27.5% implied probability for F1 Action of the Year, buoyed by his history of bold overtakes like last year's FIA-winning move, even amid Red Bull's early 2026 struggles with poor starts and DNFs in Australia and Shanghai. Lewis Hamilton's opportunistic pass on George Russell post-safety car restart at the chaotic Japanese Grand Prix—marked by Oliver Bearman's high-impact crash and Kimi Antonelli's stunning recovery from a botched start to victory—has elevated him to 20%, alongside Antonelli and Russell at 19% each for their podium scraps. Charles Leclerc's consistent podiums and lightning launches, including his Australian duel with Russell from P4, hold him at 18.5%, reflecting new regs' surge in overtakes that keeps the field bunched early in the season with grids, pit strategies, and track position battles wide open ahead of Miami.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoKimi Antonelli 30%
Lewis Hamilton 30%
Max Verstappen 28%
George Russell 19%
Kimi Antonelli
19%
Lewis Hamilton
20%
Max Verstappen
28%
George Russell
19%
Charles Leclerc
19%
Oscar Piastri
18%
Fernando Alonso
10%
Alexander Albon
4%
Lando Norris
4%
Gabriel Bortoleto
2%
Arvid Lindblad
2%
Oliver Bearman
2%
Isack Hadjar
2%
Nico Hulkenberg
2%
Liam Lawson
2%
Esteban Ocon
2%
Carlos Sainz
2%
Pierre Gasly
2%
Valtteri Bottas
1%
Franco Colapinto
1%
Sergio Perez
1%
Lance Stroll
1%
Kimi Antonelli 30%
Lewis Hamilton 30%
Max Verstappen 28%
George Russell 19%
Kimi Antonelli
19%
Lewis Hamilton
20%
Max Verstappen
28%
George Russell
19%
Charles Leclerc
19%
Oscar Piastri
18%
Fernando Alonso
10%
Alexander Albon
4%
Lando Norris
4%
Gabriel Bortoleto
2%
Arvid Lindblad
2%
Oliver Bearman
2%
Isack Hadjar
2%
Nico Hulkenberg
2%
Liam Lawson
2%
Esteban Ocon
2%
Carlos Sainz
2%
Pierre Gasly
2%
Valtteri Bottas
1%
Franco Colapinto
1%
Sergio Perez
1%
Lance Stroll
1%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by FIA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 Formula 1 season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the FIA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 10, 2026, 6:33 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by FIA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 Formula 1 season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the FIA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors Max Verstappen at 27.5% implied probability for F1 Action of the Year, buoyed by his history of bold overtakes like last year's FIA-winning move, even amid Red Bull's early 2026 struggles with poor starts and DNFs in Australia and Shanghai. Lewis Hamilton's opportunistic pass on George Russell post-safety car restart at the chaotic Japanese Grand Prix—marked by Oliver Bearman's high-impact crash and Kimi Antonelli's stunning recovery from a botched start to victory—has elevated him to 20%, alongside Antonelli and Russell at 19% each for their podium scraps. Charles Leclerc's consistent podiums and lightning launches, including his Australian duel with Russell from P4, hold him at 18.5%, reflecting new regs' surge in overtakes that keeps the field bunched early in the season with grids, pit strategies, and track position battles wide open ahead of Miami.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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