Petr Yan leads trader consensus at 54.5% implied probability to remain or reclaim the UFC Bantamweight title by year-end, anchored by his unanimous decision victory over Merab Dvalishvili in their December 2025 UFC 323 rematch, securing his second championship reign despite minor back surgery sidelining him until summer. Sean O'Malley (15.5%) holds strong after a recent unanimous decision over Song Yadong at UFC 324 in January, positioning for a potential interim title clash with surging Aiemann Zahabi (11.2%), whose knockout streak includes upsets over Marlon Vera and Jose Aldo late last year. Dvalishvili's 14.5% reflects his prior defenses but fresh broken nose from sparring delays a trilogy, while Umar Nurmagomedov's 11% stems from back-to-back ranked wins over Deiveson Figueiredo and Mario Bautista.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoPetr Yan 55%
Sean O'Malley 16%
Merab Dvalishvili 14%
Umar Nurmagomedov 14%
$288,150 Vol.
$288,150 Vol.
Petr Yan
55%
Sean O'Malley
16%
Merab Dvalishvili
14%
Umar Nurmagomedov
11%
Aiemann Zahabi
11%
Deiveson Figueiredo
1%
Song Yadong
1%
Cory Sandhagen
1%
Marlon Vera
1%
Mario Bautista
<1%
David Martinez
<1%
Petr Yan 55%
Sean O'Malley 16%
Merab Dvalishvili 14%
Umar Nurmagomedov 14%
$288,150 Vol.
$288,150 Vol.
Petr Yan
55%
Sean O'Malley
16%
Merab Dvalishvili
14%
Umar Nurmagomedov
11%
Aiemann Zahabi
11%
Deiveson Figueiredo
1%
Song Yadong
1%
Cory Sandhagen
1%
Marlon Vera
1%
Mario Bautista
<1%
David Martinez
<1%
Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.
If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 2, 2026, 5:45 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.
If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Petr Yan leads trader consensus at 54.5% implied probability to remain or reclaim the UFC Bantamweight title by year-end, anchored by his unanimous decision victory over Merab Dvalishvili in their December 2025 UFC 323 rematch, securing his second championship reign despite minor back surgery sidelining him until summer. Sean O'Malley (15.5%) holds strong after a recent unanimous decision over Song Yadong at UFC 324 in January, positioning for a potential interim title clash with surging Aiemann Zahabi (11.2%), whose knockout streak includes upsets over Marlon Vera and Jose Aldo late last year. Dvalishvili's 14.5% reflects his prior defenses but fresh broken nose from sparring delays a trilogy, while Umar Nurmagomedov's 11% stems from back-to-back ranked wins over Deiveson Figueiredo and Mario Bautista.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions