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Desporto·UFC

Quem será o campeão peso mosca do UFC no final de 2026?

Market icon
Desporto·UFC

Quem será o campeão peso mosca do UFC no final de 2026?

Alexandre Pantoja 40%

Joshua Van 27%

Tatsuro Taira 24%

Manel Kape 16%

Polymarket
NOVO

Alexandre Pantoja 40%

Joshua Van 27%

Tatsuro Taira 24%

Manel Kape 16%

Polymarket
NOVO

Alexandre Pantoja

$2,061 Vol.

39%

Joshua Van

$1,838 Vol.

27%

Tatsuro Taira

$368 Vol.

24%

Manel Kape

$0 Vol.

12%

Kyoji Horiguchi

$244 Vol.

5%

Tim Elliott

$228 Vol.

1%

Amir Albazi

$239 Vol.

1%

Asu Almabayev

$190 Vol.

1%

Steve Erceg

$190 Vol.

1%

Brandon Moreno

$164 Vol.

<1%

Brandon Royval

$174 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Flyweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).Current UFC flyweight champion Joshua Van holds a narrow edge in trader consensus despite defending his title against surging contender Tatsuro Taira at UFC 327 on April 11, as markets price Pantoja as the frontrunner at 40% implied probability following his controversial first-round TKO loss to Van at UFC 323 in December 2025 due to a gruesome arm dislocation. Pantoja's recent comments reveal he nearly returned for an immediate rematch but prioritized recovery, fueling bets on his grappling dominance and multi-fight title reign to reclaim the belt by year-end. Taira's knockout of Brandon Moreno in December boosted his stock, positioning him as a stylistic nightmare for Van with elite submissions and ground-and-pound. Manel Kape's 12% reflects his knockout wins over Royval and Almabayev, though his June rematch with Kyoji Horiguchi looms as a contender eliminator in this deep division.

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Flyweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.

Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.

If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Volume
$5,695
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jan 2, 2026, 5:45 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Flyweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Flyweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).Current UFC flyweight champion Joshua Van holds a narrow edge in trader consensus despite defending his title against surging contender Tatsuro Taira at UFC 327 on April 11, as markets price Pantoja as the frontrunner at 40% implied probability following his controversial first-round TKO loss to Van at UFC 323 in December 2025 due to a gruesome arm dislocation. Pantoja's recent comments reveal he nearly returned for an immediate rematch but prioritized recovery, fueling bets on his grappling dominance and multi-fight title reign to reclaim the belt by year-end. Taira's knockout of Brandon Moreno in December boosted his stock, positioning him as a stylistic nightmare for Van with elite submissions and ground-and-pound. Manel Kape's 12% reflects his knockout wins over Royval and Almabayev, though his June rematch with Kyoji Horiguchi looms as a contender eliminator in this deep division.

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Flyweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.

Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.

If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Volume
$5,695
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jan 2, 2026, 5:45 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Flyweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Quem será o campeão peso mosca do UFC no final de 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Alexandre Pantoja" at 39%, followed by "Joshua Van" at 27%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 39¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 39% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Quem será o campeão peso mosca do UFC no final de 2026?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jan 2, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Quem será o campeão peso mosca do UFC no final de 2026?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Quem será o campeão peso mosca do UFC no final de 2026?" is "Alexandre Pantoja" at 39%, meaning the market assigns a 39% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Joshua Van" at 27%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Quem será o campeão peso mosca do UFC no final de 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.