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Desporto·UFC

Quem será o campeão meio-médio do UFC no final de 2026?

Market icon
Desporto·UFC

Quem será o campeão meio-médio do UFC no final de 2026?

Islam Makhachev 68%

Michael Morales 13%

Ian Machado Garry 8%

Carlos Prates 7%

Polymarket
NOVO

Islam Makhachev 68%

Michael Morales 13%

Ian Machado Garry 8%

Carlos Prates 7%

Polymarket
NOVO

Islam Makhachev

$1,900 Vol.

74%

Michael Morales

$0 Vol.

10%

Ian Machado Garry

$1,320 Vol.

13%

Carlos Prates

$0 Vol.

7%

Kamaru Usman

$0 Vol.

5%

Jack Della Maddalena

$1,318 Vol.

2%

Joaquin Buckley

$0 Vol.

1%

Sean Brady

$869 Vol.

1%

Belal Muhammad

$0 Vol.

1%

Leon Edwards

$634 Vol.

1%

Shavkat Rakhmonov

$0 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Welterweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).Islam Makhachev's commanding unanimous decision victory over Jack Della Maddalena at UFC 322 in November 2025 to claim the welterweight title—after vacating his lightweight belt—has solidified trader consensus at 74% implied probability for him to hold the strap through 2026, bolstered by his 17-1 UFC record, six title wins, and elite wrestling under Khabib Nurmagomedov's tutelage. Rising contenders Ian Machado Garry (12.5%), fresh off a statement win over Belal Muhammad and ranked #2, Michael Morales (9.0%) with his undefeated 19-0 run and recent first-round finish as #3, and knockout artist Carlos Prates (7.0%) fuel next-tier pricing amid their late-2025 surges, while Dana White's confirmation of Makhachev's July International Fight Week defense keeps the division's momentum focused on potential stylistic matchups.

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Welterweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.

Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.

If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Volume
$6,041
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jan 4, 2026, 2:33 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Welterweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Welterweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).Islam Makhachev's commanding unanimous decision victory over Jack Della Maddalena at UFC 322 in November 2025 to claim the welterweight title—after vacating his lightweight belt—has solidified trader consensus at 74% implied probability for him to hold the strap through 2026, bolstered by his 17-1 UFC record, six title wins, and elite wrestling under Khabib Nurmagomedov's tutelage. Rising contenders Ian Machado Garry (12.5%), fresh off a statement win over Belal Muhammad and ranked #2, Michael Morales (9.0%) with his undefeated 19-0 run and recent first-round finish as #3, and knockout artist Carlos Prates (7.0%) fuel next-tier pricing amid their late-2025 surges, while Dana White's confirmation of Makhachev's July International Fight Week defense keeps the division's momentum focused on potential stylistic matchups.

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Welterweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.

Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.

If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Volume
$6,041
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jan 4, 2026, 2:33 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Welterweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Quem será o campeão meio-médio do UFC no final de 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Islam Makhachev" at 74%, followed by "Ian Machado Garry" at 13%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 74¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 74% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Quem será o campeão meio-médio do UFC no final de 2026?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jan 4, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Quem será o campeão meio-médio do UFC no final de 2026?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Quem será o campeão meio-médio do UFC no final de 2026?" is "Islam Makhachev" at 74%, meaning the market assigns a 74% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Ian Machado Garry" at 13%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Quem será o campeão meio-médio do UFC no final de 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.