Trader consensus positions Ilia Topuria as the narrow favorite at 49% implied probability to claim UFC pound-for-pound #1 status in 2026, edging Alex Pereira's 40% amid their parallel paths to challenge Islam Makhachev's stranglehold. Topuria, ranked #2 P4P and undefeated at 18-0, builds hype with a teased lightweight return versus Justin Gaethje at UFC White House on June 14—potentially clearing runway for a superfight with the welterweight king Makhachev, whom peers like Bo Nickal and Merab Dvalishvili favor him against. Pereira, climbing to #6 P4P post-recent rankings update, eyes three-division history via interim heavyweight title clash with Ciryl Gane at the same event under a new eight-fight deal. Makhachev's 30.5% "None" share reflects his August title defense plans, with lower probabilities for middleweight champ Dricus du Plessis, lightweight contender Arman Tsarukyan, and heavyweight Tom Aspinall tied to divisional obstacles and form.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoIlia Topuria 68%
Islam/Nenhum em 2026 50%
Alex Pereira 39.5%
Dricus Du Plessis 20.7%
$10,044 Vol.
$10,044 Vol.
Ilia Topuria
49%
Khamzat Chimaev
3%
Alex Pereira
40%
Alexander Volkanovski
1%
Petr Yan
1%
Merab Dvalishvili
<1%
Tom Aspinall
20%
Alexandre Pantoja
<1%
Max Holloway
2%
Dricus Du Plessis
21%
Joshua Van
2%
Magomed Ankalaev
<1%
Jack Della Maddalena
<1%
Arman Tsarukyan
20%
Islam/Nenhum em 2026
31%
Ilia Topuria 68%
Islam/Nenhum em 2026 50%
Alex Pereira 39.5%
Dricus Du Plessis 20.7%
$10,044 Vol.
$10,044 Vol.
Ilia Topuria
49%
Khamzat Chimaev
3%
Alex Pereira
40%
Alexander Volkanovski
1%
Petr Yan
1%
Merab Dvalishvili
<1%
Tom Aspinall
20%
Alexandre Pantoja
<1%
Max Holloway
2%
Dricus Du Plessis
21%
Joshua Van
2%
Magomed Ankalaev
<1%
Jack Della Maddalena
<1%
Arman Tsarukyan
20%
Islam/Nenhum em 2026
31%
If Islam Makhachev remains #1 in the UFC Pound-For-Pound rankings through December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no next UFC fighter to be ranked 1st in the Pound-For-Pound rankings within this timeframe, this market will resolve to “Islam/No Next #1 in 2026”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 5, 2026, 3:29 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If Islam Makhachev remains #1 in the UFC Pound-For-Pound rankings through December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no next UFC fighter to be ranked 1st in the Pound-For-Pound rankings within this timeframe, this market will resolve to “Islam/No Next #1 in 2026”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus positions Ilia Topuria as the narrow favorite at 49% implied probability to claim UFC pound-for-pound #1 status in 2026, edging Alex Pereira's 40% amid their parallel paths to challenge Islam Makhachev's stranglehold. Topuria, ranked #2 P4P and undefeated at 18-0, builds hype with a teased lightweight return versus Justin Gaethje at UFC White House on June 14—potentially clearing runway for a superfight with the welterweight king Makhachev, whom peers like Bo Nickal and Merab Dvalishvili favor him against. Pereira, climbing to #6 P4P post-recent rankings update, eyes three-division history via interim heavyweight title clash with Ciryl Gane at the same event under a new eight-fight deal. Makhachev's 30.5% "None" share reflects his August title defense plans, with lower probabilities for middleweight champ Dricus du Plessis, lightweight contender Arman Tsarukyan, and heavyweight Tom Aspinall tied to divisional obstacles and form.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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