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Desporto·UFC

Quem será o campeão dos pesos leves do UFC no final de 2026?

Market icon
Desporto·UFC

Quem será o campeão dos pesos leves do UFC no final de 2026?

Ilia Topuria 73%

Arman Tsarukyan 16%

Justin Gaethje 11.4%

Charles Oliveira 1.3%

Polymarket

$16,438 Vol.

Ilia Topuria 73%

Arman Tsarukyan 16%

Justin Gaethje 11.4%

Charles Oliveira 1.3%

Polymarket

$16,438 Vol.

Ilia Topuria

$5,756 Vol.

73%

Arman Tsarukyan

$1,142 Vol.

16%

Charles Oliveira

$1,330 Vol.

1%

Max Holloway

$937 Vol.

1%

Justin Gaethje

$1,638 Vol.

11%

Paddy Pimblett

$2,291 Vol.

<1%

Dan Hooker

$646 Vol.

<1%

Mateusz Gamrot

$600 Vol.

1%

Benoît Saint Denis

$852 Vol.

1%

Rafael Fiziev

$647 Vol.

1%

Renato Moicano

$599 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Lightweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).Ilia Topuria holds the UFC lightweight title after his first-round knockout of Charles Oliveira at UFC 317 in late 2025, solidifying trader consensus at 72.5% for him to remain champion through 2026 amid his undefeated 18-0 record and elite striking power. A brief personal hiatus through Q1 2026 delayed defenses, but his June 14 UFC White House main event against interim champ Justin Gaethje—fresh off a unanimous decision win over Paddy Pimblett—looms as the key test, boosting Gaethje's 11.5% implied probability via his knockout threat and experience. Arman Tsarukyan, the #2-ranked contender and #15 pound-for-pound, draws 15.5% with recent grappling dominance and wrestling edge positioning him for a late-2026 title shot if upsets occur.

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Lightweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.

Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.

If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Volume
$16,438
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jan 4, 2026, 2:29 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Lightweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Lightweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).Ilia Topuria holds the UFC lightweight title after his first-round knockout of Charles Oliveira at UFC 317 in late 2025, solidifying trader consensus at 72.5% for him to remain champion through 2026 amid his undefeated 18-0 record and elite striking power. A brief personal hiatus through Q1 2026 delayed defenses, but his June 14 UFC White House main event against interim champ Justin Gaethje—fresh off a unanimous decision win over Paddy Pimblett—looms as the key test, boosting Gaethje's 11.5% implied probability via his knockout threat and experience. Arman Tsarukyan, the #2-ranked contender and #15 pound-for-pound, draws 15.5% with recent grappling dominance and wrestling edge positioning him for a late-2026 title shot if upsets occur.

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Lightweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.

Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.

If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Volume
$16,438
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jan 4, 2026, 2:29 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Lightweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Quem será o campeão dos pesos leves do UFC no final de 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Ilia Topuria" at 73%, followed by "Arman Tsarukyan" at 16%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 73¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 73% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Quem será o campeão dos pesos leves do UFC no final de 2026?" has generated $16.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 4, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Quem será o campeão dos pesos leves do UFC no final de 2026?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Quem será o campeão dos pesos leves do UFC no final de 2026?" is "Ilia Topuria" at 73%, meaning the market assigns a 73% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Arman Tsarukyan" at 16%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Quem será o campeão dos pesos leves do UFC no final de 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.