Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors Anthropic as having the second-best AI model by March 31, 2026, with Claude Opus 4.6 securing a commanding runner-up position on the LMSYS Chatbot Arena leaderboard at 1503 Elo—trailing only Gemini 3.1 Pro's 1505 while far ahead of rivals like OpenAI's GPT-5.4, xAI's Grok-4.20, and Chinese contenders such as DeepSeek or Alibaba's Qwen. This positioning stems from Anthropic's recent Claude 4.6 release in early March, which demonstrated superior reasoning, coding, and multimodal benchmarks amid a flurry of 12 new large language models that month, solidifying its competitive edge through crowdsourced battles and verified evaluations. With the market resolving imminently, only an improbable last-minute leaderboard refresh or surprise model drop from Google or OpenAI could challenge this near-certain outcome, though traders see negligible risk given stable rankings over the past week.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoQual empresa tem o segundo melhor modelo de IA no final de março?
Qual empresa tem o segundo melhor modelo de IA no final de março?
Anthropic 100.0%
Alibaba <1%
DeepSeek <1%
Google <1%
$1,392,610 Vol.
$1,392,610 Vol.

Alibaba
Não

DeepSeek
Não

Não

Baidu
Não

Moonshot
Não

Anthropic
Sim

Z.ai
Não

Mistral
Não

OpenAI
Não

xAI
Não

Meituan
Não
Anthropic 100.0%
Alibaba <1%
DeepSeek <1%
Google <1%
$1,392,610 Vol.
$1,392,610 Vol.

Alibaba
Não

DeepSeek
Não

Não

Baidu
Não

Moonshot
Não

Anthropic
Sim

Z.ai
Não

Mistral
Não

OpenAI
Não

xAI
Não

Meituan
Não
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.
If two models are tied for the second best arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g. if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Mercado Aberto: Dec 2, 2025, 6:02 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.
If two models are tied for the second best arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g. if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors Anthropic as having the second-best AI model by March 31, 2026, with Claude Opus 4.6 securing a commanding runner-up position on the LMSYS Chatbot Arena leaderboard at 1503 Elo—trailing only Gemini 3.1 Pro's 1505 while far ahead of rivals like OpenAI's GPT-5.4, xAI's Grok-4.20, and Chinese contenders such as DeepSeek or Alibaba's Qwen. This positioning stems from Anthropic's recent Claude 4.6 release in early March, which demonstrated superior reasoning, coding, and multimodal benchmarks amid a flurry of 12 new large language models that month, solidifying its competitive edge through crowdsourced battles and verified evaluations. With the market resolving imminently, only an improbable last-minute leaderboard refresh or surprise model drop from Google or OpenAI could challenge this near-certain outcome, though traders see negligible risk given stable rankings over the past week.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions