Market icon
Política·DHS

Quando o desligamento do DHS terminará?

Market icon
Política·DHS

Quando o desligamento do DHS terminará?

Mar 31

Apr 30

Mar 31

Apr 30

Após 30 de abril 28.5%

13 a 16 de abril 24.9%

5-8 de abril 15.1%

25 a 28 de abril 12.4%

Polymarket

$56,936 Vol.

Após 30 de abril 28.5%

13 a 16 de abril 24.9%

5-8 de abril 15.1%

25 a 28 de abril 12.4%

Polymarket

$56,936 Vol.

Antes de 1º de abril

$25,790 Vol.

3%

1 a 4 de abril

$999 Vol.

6%

5-8 de abril

$880 Vol.

15%

9 a 12 de abril

$846 Vol.

11%

13 a 16 de abril

$6,556 Vol.

25%

17-20 de abril

$486 Vol.

8%

21-24 de abril

$17,078 Vol.

3%

25 a 28 de abril

$1,608 Vol.

12%

29-30 de abril

$1,658 Vol.

8%

Após 30 de abril

$1,034 Vol.

29%

This market will resolve to the calendar date range (ET) of the end date of the Department of Homeland Security shutdown which began on February 14, 2026. The end date of the shutdown will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.The Senate's unanimous March 27 passage of a bill funding most Department of Homeland Security operations—including TSA, FEMA, and Coast Guard—but excluding ICE enforcement and parts of CBP, was promptly rejected by House Republicans, who favor a full 60-day continuing resolution covering immigration priorities like the SAVE America Act. This impasse, rooted in Democratic demands for ICE reforms such as body cameras, judicial warrants, and mask bans versus Republican opposition to concessions, has prolonged the 43-day funding lapse that began February 14 amid post-incident immigration disputes. Trader consensus reflects tight odds between mid-April resolution (e.g., April 13-16 at 24.9%) and extension past April 30 (28.5%), driven by escalating TSA delays, officer quits, and unpaid essential workers pressuring action. House votes on a comprehensive appropriations measure or bipartisan compromise could tip probabilities, while recess and narrow margins risk further deadlock.

The Senate's unanimous March 27 passage of a bill funding most Department of Homeland Security operations—including TSA, FEMA, and Coast Guard—but excluding ICE enforcement and parts of CBP, was promptly rejected by House Republicans, who favor a full 60-day continuing resolution covering immigration priorities like the SAVE America Act. This impasse, rooted in Democratic demands for ICE reforms such as body cameras, judicial warrants, and mask bans versus Republican opposition to concessions, has prolonged the 43-day funding lapse that began February 14 amid post-incident immigration disputes. Trader consensus reflects tight odds between mid-April resolution (e.g., April 13-16 at 24.9%) and extension past April 30 (28.5%), driven by escalating TSA delays, officer quits, and unpaid essential workers pressuring action. House votes on a comprehensive appropriations measure or bipartisan compromise could tip probabilities, while recess and narrow margins risk further deadlock.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
This market will resolve to the calendar date range (ET) of the end date of the Department of Homeland Security shutdown which began on February 14, 2026. The end date of the shutdown will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.The Senate's unanimous March 27 passage of a bill funding most Department of Homeland Security operations—including TSA, FEMA, and Coast Guard—but excluding ICE enforcement and parts of CBP, was promptly rejected by House Republicans, who favor a full 60-day continuing resolution covering immigration priorities like the SAVE America Act. This impasse, rooted in Democratic demands for ICE reforms such as body cameras, judicial warrants, and mask bans versus Republican opposition to concessions, has prolonged the 43-day funding lapse that began February 14 amid post-incident immigration disputes. Trader consensus reflects tight odds between mid-April resolution (e.g., April 13-16 at 24.9%) and extension past April 30 (28.5%), driven by escalating TSA delays, officer quits, and unpaid essential workers pressuring action. House votes on a comprehensive appropriations measure or bipartisan compromise could tip probabilities, while recess and narrow margins risk further deadlock.

The Senate's unanimous March 27 passage of a bill funding most Department of Homeland Security operations—including TSA, FEMA, and Coast Guard—but excluding ICE enforcement and parts of CBP, was promptly rejected by House Republicans, who favor a full 60-day continuing resolution covering immigration priorities like the SAVE America Act. This impasse, rooted in Democratic demands for ICE reforms such as body cameras, judicial warrants, and mask bans versus Republican opposition to concessions, has prolonged the 43-day funding lapse that began February 14 amid post-incident immigration disputes. Trader consensus reflects tight odds between mid-April resolution (e.g., April 13-16 at 24.9%) and extension past April 30 (28.5%), driven by escalating TSA delays, officer quits, and unpaid essential workers pressuring action. House votes on a comprehensive appropriations measure or bipartisan compromise could tip probabilities, while recess and narrow margins risk further deadlock.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Quando o desligamento do DHS terminará?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Após 30 de abril" at 29%, followed by "13 a 16 de abril" at 25%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 29¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 29% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Quando o desligamento do DHS terminará?" has generated $56.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 26, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Quando o desligamento do DHS terminará?," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Quando o desligamento do DHS terminará?" is "Após 30 de abril" at 29%, meaning the market assigns a 29% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "13 a 16 de abril" at 25%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Quando o desligamento do DHS terminará?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.