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Política·Primárias

WA-03 Vencedores da Primária

Market icon
Política·Primárias

WA-03 Vencedores da Primária

NOVO
4 ago 2026
Polymarket

$4,744 Vol.

Polymarket

Marie Gluesenkamp Perez

$3,647 Vol.

92%

John Braun

$1,097 Vol.

82%

Antony Barran

$0 Vol.

27%

Brent Hennrich

$0 Vol.

21%

Lawrence Kellogg

$0 Vol.

10%

Eric Vaughan

$0 Vol.

9%

Suzzanna V. Tanner

$0 Vol.

38%

The non-partisan primary election for the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives is scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. The two candidates who receive the most votes in this primary election will qualify for the General Election. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 WA-03 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for the WA-03 congressional district seat, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Washington, specifically the Washington Office of the Secretary of State.In Washington's 3rd Congressional District top-two primary on August 4, 2026, incumbent Democrat Marie Gluesenkamp Perez leads in fundraising with over $3.2 million raised through late 2025, bolstering her position in this R+2 battleground that Donald Trump narrowly carried in 2024. However, she faces a Democratic primary challenge from Brent Hennrich, whose campaign surged after Perez's February bipartisan vote to fund ICE, drawing progressive criticism. Republicans feature state Senate leader John Braun as a top contender alongside Wadi Yakhour and others, building on an August 2025 party poll showing GOP viability. Race ratings range from Toss-up (Cook) to Lean Democratic; candidate filing closes May 8, with no recent public polls available. Trader consensus reflects uncertainty in who advances to the November general.

The non-partisan primary election for the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives is scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. The two candidates who receive the most votes in this primary election will qualify for the General Election.

This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.

If no 2026 WA-03 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.”

This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for the WA-03 congressional district seat, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Washington, specifically the Washington Office of the Secretary of State.
Volume
$4,744
Data de Término
4 ago 2026
Mercado Aberto
Dec 18, 2025, 3:30 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The non-partisan primary election for the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives is scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. The two candidates who receive the most votes in this primary election will qualify for the General Election. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 WA-03 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for the WA-03 congressional district seat, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Washington, specifically the Washington Office of the Secretary of State.
The non-partisan primary election for the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives is scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. The two candidates who receive the most votes in this primary election will qualify for the General Election. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 WA-03 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for the WA-03 congressional district seat, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Washington, specifically the Washington Office of the Secretary of State.In Washington's 3rd Congressional District top-two primary on August 4, 2026, incumbent Democrat Marie Gluesenkamp Perez leads in fundraising with over $3.2 million raised through late 2025, bolstering her position in this R+2 battleground that Donald Trump narrowly carried in 2024. However, she faces a Democratic primary challenge from Brent Hennrich, whose campaign surged after Perez's February bipartisan vote to fund ICE, drawing progressive criticism. Republicans feature state Senate leader John Braun as a top contender alongside Wadi Yakhour and others, building on an August 2025 party poll showing GOP viability. Race ratings range from Toss-up (Cook) to Lean Democratic; candidate filing closes May 8, with no recent public polls available. Trader consensus reflects uncertainty in who advances to the November general.

The non-partisan primary election for the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives is scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. The two candidates who receive the most votes in this primary election will qualify for the General Election.

This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.

If no 2026 WA-03 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.”

This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for the WA-03 congressional district seat, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Washington, specifically the Washington Office of the Secretary of State.
Volume
$4,744
Data de Término
4 ago 2026
Mercado Aberto
Dec 18, 2025, 3:30 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The non-partisan primary election for the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives is scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. The two candidates who receive the most votes in this primary election will qualify for the General Election. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 WA-03 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for the WA-03 congressional district seat, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Washington, specifically the Washington Office of the Secretary of State.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"WA-03 Vencedores da Primária" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Marie Gluesenkamp Perez" at 92%, followed by "John Braun" at 82%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 92¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 92% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"WA-03 Vencedores da Primária" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Dec 18, 2025. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "WA-03 Vencedores da Primária," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "WA-03 Vencedores da Primária" is "Marie Gluesenkamp Perez" at 92%, meaning the market assigns a 92% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "John Braun" at 82%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "WA-03 Vencedores da Primária" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.