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Política·Agitação Em Minnesota

Tim Walz na cadeia por...?

Market icon
Política·Agitação Em Minnesota

Tim Walz na cadeia por...?

$47,135 Vol.

31 mar 2026
Polymarket

$47,135 Vol.

Polymarket

31 de dezembro de 2026

$12,257 Vol.

6%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tim Walz serves any time in a federal, state, or local U.S. jail or prison between market creation and December 31, 2026 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tim Walz serves any time in a federal, state, or local U.S. jail or prison between market creation and March 31, 2026 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.DOJ subpoenas issued in January 2026 to Minnesota Gov. Tim Walz, Attorney General Keith Ellison, and others probe potential obstruction of federal immigration enforcement linked to a sprawling welfare and child care fraud scandal costing hundreds of millions, predominantly involving Somali networks. House Oversight Committee hearings on March 4 featured whistleblower testimony alleging Walz knew of the fraud earlier than admitted, leading to congressional referrals for criminal charges, though prosecutors have filed none to date. Walz testified denying prior knowledge and proposed anti-fraud reforms. Absent indictments or trials, trader consensus reflects slim odds of jail time by year-end, with the Republican-led DOJ investigation's pace and political dynamics key uncertainties ahead of potential further hearings or legal developments.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tim Walz serves any time in a federal, state, or local U.S. jail or prison between market creation and December 31, 2026 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$47,135
Data de Término
31 mar 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jan 2, 2026, 2:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tim Walz serves any time in a federal, state, or local U.S. jail or prison between market creation and December 31, 2026 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tim Walz serves any time in a federal, state, or local U.S. jail or prison between market creation and December 31, 2026 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tim Walz serves any time in a federal, state, or local U.S. jail or prison between market creation and March 31, 2026 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.DOJ subpoenas issued in January 2026 to Minnesota Gov. Tim Walz, Attorney General Keith Ellison, and others probe potential obstruction of federal immigration enforcement linked to a sprawling welfare and child care fraud scandal costing hundreds of millions, predominantly involving Somali networks. House Oversight Committee hearings on March 4 featured whistleblower testimony alleging Walz knew of the fraud earlier than admitted, leading to congressional referrals for criminal charges, though prosecutors have filed none to date. Walz testified denying prior knowledge and proposed anti-fraud reforms. Absent indictments or trials, trader consensus reflects slim odds of jail time by year-end, with the Republican-led DOJ investigation's pace and political dynamics key uncertainties ahead of potential further hearings or legal developments.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tim Walz serves any time in a federal, state, or local U.S. jail or prison between market creation and December 31, 2026 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$47,135
Data de Término
31 mar 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jan 2, 2026, 2:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tim Walz serves any time in a federal, state, or local U.S. jail or prison between market creation and December 31, 2026 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Tim Walz na cadeia por...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "31 de dezembro de 2026" at 6%, followed by "31 de março de 2026" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 6¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 6% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Tim Walz na cadeia por...?" has generated $47.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 2, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Tim Walz na cadeia por...?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "Tim Walz na cadeia por...?" is "31 de dezembro de 2026" at just 6%, with "31 de março de 2026" close behind at 0%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "Tim Walz na cadeia por...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.