Polymarket traders locked in near-100% implied probability on the S&P 500 opening in the 6700–6800 range on April 8, 2026, precisely matching the actual open at 6,754 amid a sharp relief rally fueled by President Trump's announcement of a two-week Middle East ceasefire. Overnight S&P futures surged over 2.5% from the prior close of 6,617, as oil benchmarks plunged $20 to $92.79 on Strait of Hormuz reopening hopes, alleviating war-driven risk-off pressures that had capped the index near 6,600 earlier in the week. This skin-in-the-game consensus reflected aggregated trader bets on de-escalation outweighing lingering inflation or Fed policy concerns. While resolved, pre-open scenarios like ceasefire doubts or weak economic prints could have tested the 6800 ceiling, but bullish momentum prevailed.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado6700–6800 100.0%
<6600 <1%
6600–6700 <1%
6800–6900 <1%
$58,146 Vol.
$58,146 Vol.
8 abr 2026
<6600
No
6600–6700
No
6700–6800
Yes
6800–6900
No
6900–7000
No
7000+
No
6700–6800 100.0%
<6600 <1%
6600–6700 <1%
6800–6900 <1%
$58,146 Vol.
$58,146 Vol.
8 abr 2026
<6600
$16,621 Vol.
No
6600–6700
$17,001 Vol.
No
6700–6800
$8,918 Vol.
Yes
6800–6900
$8,282 Vol.
No
6900–7000
$2,009 Vol.
No
7000+
$5,315 Vol.
No
This market will resolve according to the official opening price for the S&P 500 (SPX) on April 8, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the April 8, 2026 trading day is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official opening price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official opening price is published for that session (for example, due to a delayed open, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the first valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective opening price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) “Open” prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under “Historical Prices.”Polymarket traders locked in near-100% implied probability on the S&P 500 opening in the 6700–6800 range on April 8, 2026, precisely matching the actual open at 6,754 amid a sharp relief rally fueled by President Trump's announcement of a two-week Middle East ceasefire. Overnight S&P futures surged over 2.5% from the prior close of 6,617, as oil benchmarks plunged $20 to $92.79 on Strait of Hormuz reopening hopes, alleviating war-driven risk-off pressures that had capped the index near 6,600 earlier in the week. This skin-in-the-game consensus reflected aggregated trader bets on de-escalation outweighing lingering inflation or Fed policy concerns. While resolved, pre-open scenarios like ceasefire doubts or weak economic prints could have tested the 6800 ceiling, but bullish momentum prevailed.
This market will resolve according to the official opening price for the S&P 500 (SPX) on April 8, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the April 8, 2026 trading day is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official opening price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official opening price is published for that session (for example, due to a delayed open, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the first valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective opening price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) “Open” prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under “Historical Prices.”
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the April 8, 2026 trading day is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official opening price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official opening price is published for that session (for example, due to a delayed open, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the first valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective opening price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) “Open” prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under “Historical Prices.”
Mercado Aberto: Apr 7, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volume
$58,146Data de Término
8 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 7, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: No
Sem contestação
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve according to the official opening price for the S&P 500 (SPX) on April 8, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the April 8, 2026 trading day is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official opening price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official opening price is published for that session (for example, due to a delayed open, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the first valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective opening price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) “Open” prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under “Historical Prices.”Polymarket traders locked in near-100% implied probability on the S&P 500 opening in the 6700–6800 range on April 8, 2026, precisely matching the actual open at 6,754 amid a sharp relief rally fueled by President Trump's announcement of a two-week Middle East ceasefire. Overnight S&P futures surged over 2.5% from the prior close of 6,617, as oil benchmarks plunged $20 to $92.79 on Strait of Hormuz reopening hopes, alleviating war-driven risk-off pressures that had capped the index near 6,600 earlier in the week. This skin-in-the-game consensus reflected aggregated trader bets on de-escalation outweighing lingering inflation or Fed policy concerns. While resolved, pre-open scenarios like ceasefire doubts or weak economic prints could have tested the 6800 ceiling, but bullish momentum prevailed.
This market will resolve according to the official opening price for the S&P 500 (SPX) on April 8, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the April 8, 2026 trading day is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official opening price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official opening price is published for that session (for example, due to a delayed open, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the first valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective opening price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) “Open” prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under “Historical Prices.”
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the April 8, 2026 trading day is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official opening price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official opening price is published for that session (for example, due to a delayed open, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the first valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective opening price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) “Open” prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under “Historical Prices.”
Volume
$58,146Data de Término
8 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 7, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: No
Sem contestação
Resultado final: No
Polymarket traders locked in near-100% implied probability on the S&P 500 opening in the 6700–6800 range on April 8, 2026, precisely matching the actual open at 6,754 amid a sharp relief rally fueled by President Trump's announcement of a two-week Middle East ceasefire. Overnight S&P futures surged over 2.5% from the prior close of 6,617, as oil benchmarks plunged $20 to $92.79 on Strait of Hormuz reopening hopes, alleviating war-driven risk-off pressures that had capped the index near 6,600 earlier in the week. This skin-in-the-game consensus reflected aggregated trader bets on de-escalation outweighing lingering inflation or Fed policy concerns. While resolved, pre-open scenarios like ceasefire doubts or weak economic prints could have tested the 6800 ceiling, but bullish momentum prevailed.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions