S&P 500 previsões e probabilidades

Finance·Commodities

Bitcoin vs. Ouro vs. S&P 500 em 2026

$872K Vol.

$54.3K Liq.

Ends em 5 meses

67%

S&P 500

$872K Vol.

$54.3K Liq.

Ends em 5 meses

Finance·Indicies

O que o S&P 500 (SPX) fechará no final de 2026?

$33.2K Vol.

$17.2K Liq.

Ends em 5 meses

28%

>$8.000

$33.2K Vol.

$17.2K Liq.

Ends em 5 meses

Finance·IPO

IPO da SpaceX: Oficialmente adicionado ao S&P 500 em 2026?

$17.5K Vol.

$14.3K Liq.

Ends em 5 meses

$17.5K Vol.

$14.3K Liq.

Ends em 5 meses

Crypto·Bitcoin

Outra empresa do S&P 500 compra Bitcoin até ___?

$147K Vol.

$1.5K Liq.

Ends em 5 meses

20%

31 de dezembro de 2026

$147K Vol.

$1.5K Liq.

Ends em 5 meses

Finance·Equities

O S&P 500 (SPY) fecha acima de ___ em 22 de julho?

$81.2K Vol.

$80.7K today

$165K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 2 horas

100%

$720

$81.2K Vol.

$80.7K today

$165K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 2 horas

Finance·Indicies

S&P 500 (SPX) para cima ou para baixo em 22 de julho?

$122K Vol.

$122K today

$23.0K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 2 horas

78%

$122K Vol.

$122K today

$23.0K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 2 horas

Finance·Equities

O que o S&P 500 (SPY) atingirá na semana de 20 de julho de 2026?

$46.8K Vol.

$75.9K Liq.

Ends em 2 dias

49%

↑ $755

$46.8K Vol.

$75.9K Liq.

Ends em 2 dias

Finance·Indicies

O S&P 500 (SPX) abre para cima ou para baixo em 22 de julho?

$114K Vol.

$114K today

$71.0K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 2 horas

<1%

$114K Vol.

$114K today

$71.0K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 2 horas

Finance·Indicies

O que o S&P 500 (SPX) atingirá até o final de dezembro?

$248K Vol.

$51.5K Liq.

Ends em 5 meses

79%

↑ $7.800

$248K Vol.

$51.5K Liq.

Ends em 5 meses

Finance·Equities

O que o S&P 500 (SPY) atingirá em julho de 2026?

$382K Vol.

$171K Liq.

Ends em 9 dias

37%

↑ $760

$382K Vol.

$171K Liq.

Ends em 9 dias

Finance·Equities

ESPIÃO (SPY) para cima ou para baixo em 22 de julho?

$84.6K Vol.

$84.6K today

$10.4K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 2 horas

75%

$84.6K Vol.

$84.6K today

$10.4K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 2 horas

Earnings·SPGI

Will S&P Global (SPGI) beat quarterly earnings?

$370 Vol.

$162 Liq.

Ends em 6 dias

74%

$370 Vol.

$162 Liq.

Ends em 6 dias

Finance·Equities

A SpaceX (SPCX) terminará a semana de 20 de julho acima de ___?

$0 Vol.

$3.6K Liq.

Ends em 2 dias

90%

$95

$0 Vol.

$3.6K Liq.

Ends em 2 dias

Finance·Equities

A SpaceX (SPCX) fecha a semana de 20 de julho às ___?

$0 Vol.

$2.4K Liq.

Ends em 2 dias

45%

$130-$135

$0 Vol.

$2.4K Liq.

Ends em 2 dias

Finance·Equities

O que a SpaceX (SPCX) atingirá na semana de 20 de julho de 2026?

$1.0K Vol.

$2.0K Liq.

Ends em 2 dias

63%

↓ $117,50

$1.0K Vol.

$2.0K Liq.

Ends em 2 dias

Finance·Equities

SpaceX (SPCX) para cima ou para baixo em 22 de julho?

$100 Vol.

$27 Liq.

Ends em cerca de 2 horas

48%

$100 Vol.

$27 Liq.

Ends em cerca de 2 horas

Finance·Equities

Will SpaceX (SPCX) close above ___ end of July?

$73.5K Vol.

$100K Liq.

Ends em 9 dias

98%

$90

$73.5K Vol.

$100K Liq.

Ends em 9 dias

Earnings·SPGI

As receitas da S&P Global (SPGI) Q2 Rating estarão acima de __?

$1.2K Vol.

$517 Liq.

Ends em 5 dias

US$13,5 bilhões

$1.2K Vol.

$517 Liq.

Ends em 5 dias

Finance·Equities

O Palantir (PLTR) terminará a semana de 20 de julho acima de ___?

$135 Vol.

$3.8K Liq.

Ends em 2 dias

43%

$127

$135 Vol.

$3.8K Liq.

Ends em 2 dias

Finance·Equities

A Microsoft (MSFT) terminará a semana de 20 de julho acima de ___?

$0 Vol.

$3.3K Liq.

Ends em 2 dias

96%

$340

$0 Vol.

$3.3K Liq.

Ends em 2 dias

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Estado do evento

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like S&P 500.

Polymarket currently hosts 500 active markets for S&P 500 that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Bitcoin vs. Ouro vs. S&P 500 em 2026”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $2.2M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “O S&P 500 (SPX) abre para cima ou para baixo em 22 de julho?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Bitcoin vs. Ouro vs. S&P 500 em 2026,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Bitcoin vs. Ouro vs. S&P 500 em 2026,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 67% chance to S&P 500. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on S&P 500 predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.

Polymarket is accurate more than 94% of the time an entire month before an outcome is definitively known. Prediction markets aggregate wisdom from informed users, often outperforming experts. For more context, view these stats on Polymarket’s accuracy.

Yes. You can treat this page as a live data source and watch how the odds for S&P 500 shift in real-time. It’s a free way to track market sentiment on major outcomes like “Bitcoin vs. Ouro vs. S&P 500 em 2026” without ever needing to place a trade.

Sign up and fund your account with crypto, credit/debit card, or bank transfer. Browse the S&P 500 prediction markets, and when you’re ready you can buy shares in your picks.

Market resolution relies on trusted or official data sources. For complete clarity, you can check the “Rules” section on any individual market page like “Bitcoin vs. Ouro vs. S&P 500 em 2026,” to see the exact criteria and sources used to determine the winner.

Frequently Asked Questions

Sign up and fund your account with crypto, credit/debit card, or bank transfer. Browse the S&P 500 prediction markets, and when you’re ready you can buy shares in your picks.

S&P 500 previsões e probabilidades

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Polymarket?

What types of S&P 500 prediction markets can I trade on Polymarket?

How do S&P 500 markets work on Polymarket?

What is the current top S&P 500 prediction?

Why use Polymarket for S&P 500 predictions?

How accurate are Polymarket’s S&P 500 odds?

Can I track S&P 500 predictions without trading?

How do I get started with S&P 500 markets on Polymarket?

How are markets resolved?

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Polymarket?

What types of S&P 500 prediction markets can I trade on Polymarket?

How do S&P 500 markets work on Polymarket?

What is the current top S&P 500 prediction?

Why use Polymarket for S&P 500 predictions?

How accurate are Polymarket’s S&P 500 odds?

Can I track S&P 500 predictions without trading?

How do I get started with S&P 500 markets on Polymarket?

How are markets resolved?

S&P 500 previsões e probabilidades