Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors 22°C or below at 99.4% implied probability for Taipei's highest temperature on April 4, driven by Central Weather Administration (CWA) observations and forecasts showing persistent cloud cover and showers from two successive weather fronts suppressing daytime heating. Official data from Taiwan Taoyuan International Airport—the market's NOAA resolution source—records peak temperatures around 21-22°C amid heavy rain disrupting northern Taiwan, well below April climatological averages of 24-25°C. Reduced solar insolation under overcast skies and evaporative cooling from precipitation explain the cool conditions. A late-day clearing with sustained sunlight could challenge this, though frontal moisture makes it unlikely as evening sets in. Final CWA daily summary expected soon.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Taipei on April 4?
Highest temperature in Taipei on April 4?
22°C or below 99.4%
27°C <1%
23°C <1%
28°C <1%
$67,214 Vol.
$67,214 Vol.
4 abr 2026
22°C or below
99%
23°C
1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
22°C or below 99.4%
27°C <1%
23°C <1%
28°C <1%
$67,214 Vol.
$67,214 Vol.
4 abr 2026
22°C or below
$11,533 Vol.
99%
23°C
$6,988 Vol.
1%
24°C
$9,313 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$7,418 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$5,737 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$4,387 Vol.
1%
28°C
$5,170 Vol.
1%
29°C
$3,360 Vol.
1%
30°C
$3,874 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$3,869 Vol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$5,565 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Taiwan Taoyuan International Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors 22°C or below at 99.4% implied probability for Taipei's highest temperature on April 4, driven by Central Weather Administration (CWA) observations and forecasts showing persistent cloud cover and showers from two successive weather fronts suppressing daytime heating. Official data from Taiwan Taoyuan International Airport—the market's NOAA resolution source—records peak temperatures around 21-22°C amid heavy rain disrupting northern Taiwan, well below April climatological averages of 24-25°C. Reduced solar insolation under overcast skies and evaporative cooling from precipitation explain the cool conditions. A late-day clearing with sustained sunlight could challenge this, though frontal moisture makes it unlikely as evening sets in. Final CWA daily summary expected soon.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Taiwan Taoyuan International Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 29, 2026, 3:33 PM ET
Volume
$67,214Data de Término
4 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Mar 29, 2026, 3:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Taiwan Taoyuan International Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors 22°C or below at 99.4% implied probability for Taipei's highest temperature on April 4, driven by Central Weather Administration (CWA) observations and forecasts showing persistent cloud cover and showers from two successive weather fronts suppressing daytime heating. Official data from Taiwan Taoyuan International Airport—the market's NOAA resolution source—records peak temperatures around 21-22°C amid heavy rain disrupting northern Taiwan, well below April climatological averages of 24-25°C. Reduced solar insolation under overcast skies and evaporative cooling from precipitation explain the cool conditions. A late-day clearing with sustained sunlight could challenge this, though frontal moisture makes it unlikely as evening sets in. Final CWA daily summary expected soon.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Taiwan Taoyuan International Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$67,214Data de Término
4 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Mar 29, 2026, 3:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors 22°C or below at 99.4% implied probability for Taipei's highest temperature on April 4, driven by Central Weather Administration (CWA) observations and forecasts showing persistent cloud cover and showers from two successive weather fronts suppressing daytime heating. Official data from Taiwan Taoyuan International Airport—the market's NOAA resolution source—records peak temperatures around 21-22°C amid heavy rain disrupting northern Taiwan, well below April climatological averages of 24-25°C. Reduced solar insolation under overcast skies and evaporative cooling from precipitation explain the cool conditions. A late-day clearing with sustained sunlight could challenge this, though frontal moisture makes it unlikely as evening sets in. Final CWA daily summary expected soon.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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