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Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on March 29?

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Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on March 29?

27°C 100.0%

23°C or below <1%

24°C <1%

25°C <1%

Polymarket

$186,132 Vol.

27°C 100.0%

23°C or below <1%

24°C <1%

25°C <1%

Polymarket

$186,132 Vol.

23°C or below

$5,620 Vol.

No

24°C

$22,082 Vol.

No

25°C

$16,563 Vol.

No

26°C

$25,704 Vol.

No

27°C

$27,056 Vol.

Yes

28°C

$18,837 Vol.

No

29°C

$15,208 Vol.

No

30°C

$15,894 Vol.

No

31°C

$12,645 Vol.

No

32°C

$10,580 Vol.

No

33°C or higher

$15,943 Vol.

No

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) at Aeroparque Jorge Newbery station confirm a maximum temperature of 27°C in Buenos Aires on March 29, anchoring trader consensus at a 100% implied probability for that outcome. Cloudy skies, morning fog, and scattered showers—intensified by a passing frontal system—limited solar heating despite pre-event forecasts suggesting potential highs near 30°C, aligning with typical late-autumn variability influenced by southerly winds and high humidity. This positioning reflects verified hourly data showing peaks in early afternoon before cooling under overcast conditions. Scenarios challenging it, such as data revisions from quality control or alternate station discrepancies (e.g., Ezeiza), are improbable given SMN's rigorous protocols, with final bulletins expected soon.

Official observations from Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) at Aeroparque Jorge Newbery station confirm a maximum temperature of 27°C in Buenos Aires on March 29, anchoring trader consensus at a 100% implied probability for that outcome. Cloudy skies, morning fog, and scattered showers—intensified by a passing frontal system—limited solar heating despite pre-event forecasts suggesting potential highs near 30°C, aligning with typical late-autumn variability influenced by southerly winds and high humidity. This positioning reflects verified hourly data showing peaks in early afternoon before cooling under overcast conditions. Scenarios challenging it, such as data revisions from quality control or alternate station discrepancies (e.g., Ezeiza), are improbable given SMN's rigorous protocols, with final bulletins expected soon.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) at Aeroparque Jorge Newbery station confirm a maximum temperature of 27°C in Buenos Aires on March 29, anchoring trader consensus at a 100% implied probability for that outcome. Cloudy skies, morning fog, and scattered showers—intensified by a passing frontal system—limited solar heating despite pre-event forecasts suggesting potential highs near 30°C, aligning with typical late-autumn variability influenced by southerly winds and high humidity. This positioning reflects verified hourly data showing peaks in early afternoon before cooling under overcast conditions. Scenarios challenging it, such as data revisions from quality control or alternate station discrepancies (e.g., Ezeiza), are improbable given SMN's rigorous protocols, with final bulletins expected soon.

Official observations from Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) at Aeroparque Jorge Newbery station confirm a maximum temperature of 27°C in Buenos Aires on March 29, anchoring trader consensus at a 100% implied probability for that outcome. Cloudy skies, morning fog, and scattered showers—intensified by a passing frontal system—limited solar heating despite pre-event forecasts suggesting potential highs near 30°C, aligning with typical late-autumn variability influenced by southerly winds and high humidity. This positioning reflects verified hourly data showing peaks in early afternoon before cooling under overcast conditions. Scenarios challenging it, such as data revisions from quality control or alternate station discrepancies (e.g., Ezeiza), are improbable given SMN's rigorous protocols, with final bulletins expected soon.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on March 29?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "27°C" at 100%, followed by "23°C or below" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on March 29?" has generated $186.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 25, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on March 29?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on March 29?" is "27°C" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "23°C or below" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on March 29?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.