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Filme de maior bilheteria em 2026?

Market icon

Filme de maior bilheteria em 2026?

Dec 31

Dec 31

Homem-Aranha: Um Novo Dia 41%

Super Mario Galaxy: O Filme 30%

Vingadores: Juízo Final 17%

A Odisséia 4.0%

Polymarket

$2,462,442 Vol.

Homem-Aranha: Um Novo Dia 41%

Super Mario Galaxy: O Filme 30%

Vingadores: Juízo Final 17%

A Odisséia 4.0%

Polymarket

$2,462,442 Vol.

Homem-Aranha: Um Novo Dia

$100,074 Vol.

41%

Super Mario Galaxy: O Filme

$92,496 Vol.

30%

Vingadores: Juízo Final

$143,621 Vol.

17%

A Odisséia

$297,836 Vol.

4%

Michael

$539,580 Vol.

3%

Toy Story 5

$135,875 Vol.

2%

Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu

$82,884 Vol.

2%

Duna: Messias

$191,411 Vol.

1%

Jogos Vorazes: O Alvorecer da Colheita

$207,217 Vol.

1%

O Morro dos Ventos Uivantes

$118,234 Vol.

<1%

Projeto Hail Mary

$161,290 Vol.

<1%

Jumanji 3

$69,199 Vol.

<1%

Wicked: For Good

$235,017 Vol.

<1%

Scream 7

$87,707 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the title of the film with the highest 2026 gross according to the "Gross" column on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2026/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses once data for December 31 is made available. Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2026 - dates outside of 2026 will not count toward this movie's gross. In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner. If there is no final data available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Spider-Man: Brand New Day leads trader consensus at 40.5% implied probability to claim 2026's highest global box office, propelled by Marvel's powerhouse Spider-Man franchise—previous entries like No Way Home topped $1.9 billion—and its prime July summer slot primed for massive opening weekend tracking. The Super Mario Galaxy Movie follows at 29.5%, riding the original's $1.36 billion family juggernaut success and Illumination's animation dominance, though April's crowded kids' market tempers expectations. Avengers: Doomsday's 16.5% reflects Robert Downey Jr.'s Doctor Doom casting hype from San Diego Comic-Con last month, but December's holiday competition adds risk. Recent D23 footage drops boosted Disney hopefuls like Toy Story 5 minimally; watch for first trailers and presale signals as catalysts amid volatile pre-release buzz.

This market will resolve according to the title of the film with the highest 2026 gross according to the "Gross" column on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2026/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses once data for December 31 is made available.

Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2026 - dates outside of 2026 will not count toward this movie's gross.

In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner.

If there is no final data available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$2,462,442
Data de Término
Dec 31, 2026
Mercado Aberto
Nov 12, 2025, 11:53 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the title of the film with the highest 2026 gross according to the "Gross" column on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2026/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses once data for December 31 is made available. Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2026 - dates outside of 2026 will not count toward this movie's gross. In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner. If there is no final data available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Spider-Man: Brand New Day leads trader consensus at 40.5% implied probability to claim 2026's highest global box office, propelled by Marvel's powerhouse Spider-Man franchise—previous entries like No Way Home topped $1.9 billion—and its prime July summer slot primed for massive opening weekend tracking. The Super Mario Galaxy Movie follows at 29.5%, riding the original's $1.36 billion family juggernaut success and Illumination's animation dominance, though April's crowded kids' market tempers expectations. Avengers: Doomsday's 16.5% reflects Robert Downey Jr.'s Doctor Doom casting hype from San Diego Comic-Con last month, but December's holiday competition adds risk. Recent D23 footage drops boosted Disney hopefuls like Toy Story 5 minimally; watch for first trailers and presale signals as catalysts amid volatile pre-release buzz.

Spider-Man: Brand New Day leads trader consensus at 40.5% implied probability to claim 2026's highest global box office, propelled by Marvel's powerhouse Spider-Man franchise—previous entries like No Way Home topped $1.9 billion—and its prime July summer slot primed for massive opening weekend tracking. The Super Mario Galaxy Movie follows at 29.5%, riding the original's $1.36 billion family juggernaut success and Illumination's animation dominance, though April's crowded kids' market tempers expectations. Avengers: Doomsday's 16.5% reflects Robert Downey Jr.'s Doctor Doom casting hype from San Diego Comic-Con last month, but December's holiday competition adds risk. Recent D23 footage drops boosted Disney hopefuls like Toy Story 5 minimally; watch for first trailers and presale signals as catalysts amid volatile pre-release buzz.

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Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Filme de maior bilheteria em 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 14 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Homem-Aranha: Um Novo Dia" at 41%, followed by "Super Mario Galaxy: O Filme" at 30%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 41¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 41% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Filme de maior bilheteria em 2026?" has generated $2.5 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 12, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Filme de maior bilheteria em 2026?," browse the 14 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Filme de maior bilheteria em 2026?" is "Homem-Aranha: Um Novo Dia" at 41%, meaning the market assigns a 41% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Super Mario Galaxy: O Filme" at 30%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Filme de maior bilheteria em 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.