Gold spot prices have plunged over 10% in late March 2026 to around $4,450 per ounce, reflecting trader consensus on heightened U.S. inflation risks from escalating Middle East tensions—particularly US-Iran frictions driving oil spikes—and a firmer dollar index alongside climbing 10-year Treasury yields near 4.5%. The Federal Reserve's steady policy stance and fading rate-cut odds, following hotter-than-expected March CPI data, have eroded gold's appeal as a non-yielding safe haven. With March 31 settlement imminent, quarter-end rebalancing flows and potential late geopolitical flares pose key swing risks, while April FOMC projections loom for longer-term rate path clarity. Polymarket traders price in this bearish momentum with real capital at stake.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoOuro (GC) acima de ___ final de março?
Ouro (GC) acima de ___ final de março?
$165,141 Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
US$ 7.000
<1%
US$6.500
<1%
US$ 6.000
<1%
US$ 5.800
<1%
$5.600
<1%
US$ 5.400
<1%
US$5.200
2%
US$ 5.000
1%
US$ 4.800
5%
US$ 4.600
20%
US$ 4.400
71%
$4.000
97%
$165,141 Vol.
US$ 7.000
$16,314 Vol.
<1%
US$6.500
$5,812 Vol.
<1%
US$ 6.000
$18,080 Vol.
<1%
US$ 5.800
$30,920 Vol.
<1%
$5.600
$4,848 Vol.
<1%
US$ 5.400
$44,751 Vol.
<1%
US$5.200
$4,403 Vol.
2%
US$ 5.000
$10,824 Vol.
1%
US$ 4.800
$12,128 Vol.
5%
US$ 4.600
$6,557 Vol.
20%
US$ 4.400
$2,158 Vol.
71%
$4.000
$8,345 Vol.
97%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Gold futures on the final trading day of March 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during March on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.Gold spot prices have plunged over 10% in late March 2026 to around $4,450 per ounce, reflecting trader consensus on heightened U.S. inflation risks from escalating Middle East tensions—particularly US-Iran frictions driving oil spikes—and a firmer dollar index alongside climbing 10-year Treasury yields near 4.5%. The Federal Reserve's steady policy stance and fading rate-cut odds, following hotter-than-expected March CPI data, have eroded gold's appeal as a non-yielding safe haven. With March 31 settlement imminent, quarter-end rebalancing flows and potential late geopolitical flares pose key swing risks, while April FOMC projections loom for longer-term rate path clarity. Polymarket traders price in this bearish momentum with real capital at stake.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Gold futures on the final trading day of March 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during March on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during March on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 3, 2026, 2:56 PM ET
Volume
$165,141Data de Término
Mar 31, 2026Mercado Aberto
Mar 3, 2026, 2:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Gold futures on the final trading day of March 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during March on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.Gold spot prices have plunged over 10% in late March 2026 to around $4,450 per ounce, reflecting trader consensus on heightened U.S. inflation risks from escalating Middle East tensions—particularly US-Iran frictions driving oil spikes—and a firmer dollar index alongside climbing 10-year Treasury yields near 4.5%. The Federal Reserve's steady policy stance and fading rate-cut odds, following hotter-than-expected March CPI data, have eroded gold's appeal as a non-yielding safe haven. With March 31 settlement imminent, quarter-end rebalancing flows and potential late geopolitical flares pose key swing risks, while April FOMC projections loom for longer-term rate path clarity. Polymarket traders price in this bearish momentum with real capital at stake.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Gold futures on the final trading day of March 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during March on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during March on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Volume
$165,141Data de Término
Mar 31, 2026Mercado Aberto
Mar 3, 2026, 2:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Gold spot prices have plunged over 10% in late March 2026 to around $4,450 per ounce, reflecting trader consensus on heightened U.S. inflation risks from escalating Middle East tensions—particularly US-Iran frictions driving oil spikes—and a firmer dollar index alongside climbing 10-year Treasury yields near 4.5%. The Federal Reserve's steady policy stance and fading rate-cut odds, following hotter-than-expected March CPI data, have eroded gold's appeal as a non-yielding safe haven. With March 31 settlement imminent, quarter-end rebalancing flows and potential late geopolitical flares pose key swing risks, while April FOMC projections loom for longer-term rate path clarity. Polymarket traders price in this bearish momentum with real capital at stake.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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