Polymarket traders price June 2025 COMEX gold (GC) futures settlement in a tight range around $4,000–$5,000, with $4,200–$4,600 at 17.9% implied probability leading amid balanced sentiment. Recent hotter-than-expected October CPI (up 2.6% year-over-year) and strong nonfarm payrolls have curbed aggressive Federal Reserve rate cut bets, pressuring spot gold below $2,650/oz and capping near-term upside. Countering this, escalating Middle East tensions, robust central bank purchases (e.g., China adding reserves), and a weakening U.S. dollar sustain bullish tailwinds for higher bins. Key differentiators include December FOMC guidance on 2025 policy path versus Treasury yields (10-year at 4.45%) and November 13 CPI release; election outcomes could amplify volatility, with resolution nearing mid-June.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoQual será o preço do ouro (GC) em junho?
Qual será o preço do ouro (GC) em junho?
$4.200-$4.600 17.9%
$4.600-$5.000 17%
Abaixo de US$ 3.800 16.3%
$3.800-$4.200 16.1%
$841,618 Vol.
$841,618 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
Abaixo de US$ 3.800
16%
$3.800-$4.200
16%
$4.200-$4.600
18%
$4.600-$5.000
17%
$5.000-$5.400
13%
$5.400-$5.800
10%
$5.800-$6.200
6%
>US$6.200
8%
$4.200-$4.600 17.9%
$4.600-$5.000 17%
Abaixo de US$ 3.800 16.3%
$3.800-$4.200 16.1%
$841,618 Vol.
$841,618 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
Abaixo de US$ 3.800
$215,176 Vol.
16%
$3.800-$4.200
$37,626 Vol.
16%
$4.200-$4.600
$43,791 Vol.
18%
$4.600-$5.000
$36,814 Vol.
17%
$5.000-$5.400
$46,443 Vol.
13%
$5.400-$5.800
$42,422 Vol.
10%
$5.800-$6.200
$239,793 Vol.
6%
>US$6.200
$179,554 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Gold futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.Polymarket traders price June 2025 COMEX gold (GC) futures settlement in a tight range around $4,000–$5,000, with $4,200–$4,600 at 17.9% implied probability leading amid balanced sentiment. Recent hotter-than-expected October CPI (up 2.6% year-over-year) and strong nonfarm payrolls have curbed aggressive Federal Reserve rate cut bets, pressuring spot gold below $2,650/oz and capping near-term upside. Countering this, escalating Middle East tensions, robust central bank purchases (e.g., China adding reserves), and a weakening U.S. dollar sustain bullish tailwinds for higher bins. Key differentiators include December FOMC guidance on 2025 policy path versus Treasury yields (10-year at 4.45%) and November 13 CPI release; election outcomes could amplify volatility, with resolution nearing mid-June.
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Gold futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Mercado Aberto: Dec 26, 2025, 6:27 PM ET
Volume
$841,618Data de Término
Jun 30, 2026Mercado Aberto
Dec 26, 2025, 6:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Gold futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.Polymarket traders price June 2025 COMEX gold (GC) futures settlement in a tight range around $4,000–$5,000, with $4,200–$4,600 at 17.9% implied probability leading amid balanced sentiment. Recent hotter-than-expected October CPI (up 2.6% year-over-year) and strong nonfarm payrolls have curbed aggressive Federal Reserve rate cut bets, pressuring spot gold below $2,650/oz and capping near-term upside. Countering this, escalating Middle East tensions, robust central bank purchases (e.g., China adding reserves), and a weakening U.S. dollar sustain bullish tailwinds for higher bins. Key differentiators include December FOMC guidance on 2025 policy path versus Treasury yields (10-year at 4.45%) and November 13 CPI release; election outcomes could amplify volatility, with resolution nearing mid-June.
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Gold futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Volume
$841,618Data de Término
Jun 30, 2026Mercado Aberto
Dec 26, 2025, 6:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Polymarket traders price June 2025 COMEX gold (GC) futures settlement in a tight range around $4,000–$5,000, with $4,200–$4,600 at 17.9% implied probability leading amid balanced sentiment. Recent hotter-than-expected October CPI (up 2.6% year-over-year) and strong nonfarm payrolls have curbed aggressive Federal Reserve rate cut bets, pressuring spot gold below $2,650/oz and capping near-term upside. Countering this, escalating Middle East tensions, robust central bank purchases (e.g., China adding reserves), and a weakening U.S. dollar sustain bullish tailwinds for higher bins. Key differentiators include December FOMC guidance on 2025 policy path versus Treasury yields (10-year at 4.45%) and November 13 CPI release; election outcomes could amplify volatility, with resolution nearing mid-June.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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