Trader consensus for Eurovision 2026 Top 5 heavily favors perennial powerhouses Sweden, Ukraine, Italy, and Big 5 auto-finalists France and the UK, driven by their track records of televote dominance, jury support, and grand final guarantees amid the contest's evolving format post-2024's Malmö controversy. With Switzerland hosting the 2025 edition in Basel this May—whose winner determines the 2026 venue—national selections remain months away, leaving odds shaped by historical patterns like Sweden's seven victories and Ukraine's diaspora-fueled momentum. No major 2026 developments in the past 30 days; key catalysts ahead include early preselection announcements from SVT, RAI, and BBC, plus 2025 results influencing host perks like running order draw. Markets reflect high uncertainty in this speculative phase.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoEurovision 2026: Top 5
Eurovision 2026: Top 5

Finland
81%

Greece
60%

France
59%

Denmark
55%

Israel
54%

Australia
52%

Sweden
41%

Ukraine
37%

Italy
34%

Czechia
18%

Cyprus
17%

Romania
17%

Bulgaria
15%

Norway
15%

Armenia
15%

Moldova
15%

Germany
13%

Serbia
13%

Georgia
13%

Croatia
12%

Montenegro
11%

Lithuania
11%

Poland
11%

Albania
10%

United Kingdom
10%

Austria
10%

Latvia
10%

San Marino
9%

Luxembourg
9%

Belgium
9%

Azerbaijan
8%

Estonia
8%

Portugal
8%

Switzerland
11%

Malta
21%
$9,025 Vol.

Finland
81%

Greece
60%

France
59%

Denmark
55%

Israel
54%

Australia
52%

Sweden
41%

Ukraine
37%

Italy
34%

Czechia
18%

Cyprus
17%

Romania
17%

Bulgaria
15%

Norway
15%

Armenia
15%

Moldova
15%

Germany
13%

Serbia
13%

Georgia
13%

Croatia
12%

Montenegro
11%

Lithuania
11%

Poland
11%

Albania
10%

United Kingdom
10%

Austria
10%

Latvia
10%

San Marino
9%

Luxembourg
9%

Belgium
9%

Azerbaijan
8%

Estonia
8%

Portugal
8%

Switzerland
11%

Malta
21%
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 5 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 9, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus for Eurovision 2026 Top 5 heavily favors perennial powerhouses Sweden, Ukraine, Italy, and Big 5 auto-finalists France and the UK, driven by their track records of televote dominance, jury support, and grand final guarantees amid the contest's evolving format post-2024's Malmö controversy. With Switzerland hosting the 2025 edition in Basel this May—whose winner determines the 2026 venue—national selections remain months away, leaving odds shaped by historical patterns like Sweden's seven victories and Ukraine's diaspora-fueled momentum. No major 2026 developments in the past 30 days; key catalysts ahead include early preselection announcements from SVT, RAI, and BBC, plus 2025 results influencing host perks like running order draw. Markets reflect high uncertainty in this speculative phase.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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