Eurovision 2026: Televote Winner

Name: Eurovision 2026: Televote Winner
Start: 2026-03-19T23:48:37.700Z
End: 2026-05-16T00:00:00.000Z

Eurovision 2026: Televote Winner

Israel 33%

Greece 18%

Finland 14%

France 6.5%

$1,744,328 Vol.

May 16, 2026

Israel

$3,710 Vol.

33%

Greece

$2,288 Vol.

18%

Finland

$2,949 Vol.

14%

France

$415,227 Vol.

Denmark

$3,379 Vol.

Moldova

$171,687 Vol.

Sweden

$674,363 Vol.

Bulgaria

$1,986 Vol.

Ukraine

$2,015 Vol.

Switzerland

$10,508 Vol.

Italy

$2,703 Vol.

Australia

$2,221 Vol.

Cyprus

$25,621 Vol.

Poland

$188,135 Vol.

Luxembourg

$17,502 Vol.

Malta

$16,282 Vol.

Estonia

$164,361 Vol.

Belgium

$8,094 Vol.

Romania

$3,492 Vol.

Germany

$2,883 Vol.

Croatia

$2,204 Vol.

United Kingdom

$1,960 Vol.

<1%

Norway

$2,407 Vol.

<1%

Latvia

$1,793 Vol.

<1%

Lithuania

$1,859 Vol.

<1%

Serbia

$1,828 Vol.

<1%

Azerbaijan

$1,623 Vol.

<1%

Czechia

$1,779 Vol.

<1%

Portugal

$1,946 Vol.

<1%

Armenia

$2,050 Vol.

<1%

Albania

$1,408 Vol.

<1%

Austria

$1,484 Vol.

<1%

Georgia

$1,865 Vol.

<1%

Montenegro

$1,400 Vol.

<1%

San Marino

$1,461 Vol.

<1%

Israel 33%

Greece 18%

Finland 14%

France 6.5%

$1,744,328 Vol.

May 16, 2026

Israel

$3,710 Vol.

33%

Greece

$2,288 Vol.

18%

Finland

$2,949 Vol.

14%

France

$415,227 Vol.

Denmark

$3,379 Vol.

Moldova

$171,687 Vol.

Sweden

$674,363 Vol.

Bulgaria

$1,986 Vol.

Ukraine

$2,015 Vol.

Switzerland

$10,508 Vol.

Italy

$2,703 Vol.

Australia

$2,221 Vol.

Cyprus

$25,621 Vol.

Poland

$188,135 Vol.

Luxembourg

$17,502 Vol.

Malta

$16,282 Vol.

Estonia

$164,361 Vol.

Belgium

$8,094 Vol.

Romania

$3,492 Vol.

Germany

$2,883 Vol.

Croatia

$2,204 Vol.

United Kingdom

$1,960 Vol.

<1%

Norway

$2,407 Vol.

<1%

Latvia

$1,793 Vol.

<1%

Lithuania

$1,859 Vol.

<1%

Serbia

$1,828 Vol.

<1%

Azerbaijan

$1,623 Vol.

<1%

Czechia

$1,779 Vol.

<1%

Portugal

$1,946 Vol.

<1%

Armenia

$2,050 Vol.

<1%

Albania

$1,408 Vol.

<1%

Austria

$1,484 Vol.

<1%

Georgia

$1,865 Vol.

<1%

Montenegro

$1,400 Vol.

<1%

San Marino

$1,461 Vol.

<1%

The Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026 is scheduled for May 16, 2026. This market will resolve to the country that receives the highest number of points from the televote in the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026. All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

Israel's commanding 33% implied probability in the Eurovision 2026 Televote Winner market stems from its consistent televote dominance, including a runner-up finish in 2024 despite jury backlash, driven by fervent diaspora voting from the US, UK, and Australia alongside viral social media campaigns. Greece at 18% benefits from rising Balkan and Mediterranean bloc support, echoing Marina Satti's strong 2024 public vote, while Finland's 13.5% reflects quirky, meme-worthy entries like Windows95man's online buzz. Lower odds for France, Denmark, and Moldova highlight early-stage uncertainty ahead of national selections and the host city announcement post-2025's Italian victory in Basel, where song previews and geopolitical sentiment could realign trader consensus in this volatile, pre-contest landscape.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado Mar 25, 2026, 9:03 AM UTC

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Eurovision 2026: Televote Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 35 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Israel" at 33%, followed by "Greece" at 18%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 33¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 33% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Eurovision 2026: Televote Winner" has generated $1.7 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 19, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Eurovision 2026: Televote Winner," browse the 35 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Eurovision 2026: Televote Winner" is "Israel" at 33%, meaning the market assigns a 33% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Greece" at 18%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Eurovision 2026: Televote Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

Yes. You don't need to trade to stay informed. This page serves as a live tracker for "Eurovision 2026: Televote Winner." The outcome probabilities update in real-time as new trades come in. You can bookmark this page and check the comments section to see what other traders are saying. You can also use the time-range filters on the chart to see how the odds have shifted over time. It's a free, real-time window into what the market expects to happen.

Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to surface accurate predictions. With $1.7 million traded on “Eurovision 2026: Televote Winner,” these prices aggregate the collective knowledge and conviction of thousands of participants — often outperforming polls, expert forecasts, and traditional surveys. Prediction markets like Polymarket have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution date. For example, Polymarket has a one month accuracy score of 94%. For the latest stats on Polymarket’s prediction accuracy, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.

To place your first trade on "Eurovision 2026: Televote Winner," sign up for a free Polymarket account and fund it using crypto, a credit or debit card, or a bank transfer. Once your account is funded, return to this page, select the outcome you want to trade, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If you're new to prediction markets, click the "How it works" link at the top of any Polymarket page for a quick step-by-step walkthrough of how trading works.

On Polymarket, the price of each outcome represents the market's implied probability. A price of 33¢ for "Israel" in the "Eurovision 2026: Televote Winner" market means traders collectively believe there is roughly a 33% chance that "Israel" will be the correct result. If you buy "Yes" shares at 33¢ and the outcome is correct, you receive $1.00 per share — a profit of 67¢ per share. If incorrect, those shares are worth $0.

The "Eurovision 2026: Televote Winner" market is scheduled to resolve on or around May 16, 2026. This means trading will remain open and the odds will continue to shift as new information emerges until that date. The exact resolution timing depends on when the official result becomes available, as outlined in the "Rules" section on this page.

The "Eurovision 2026: Televote Winner" market was recently created. Be one of the first to share your analysis by posting a comment below, or check back as the market grows to read what other traders think. You can also view the "Activity" tab for a real-time feed of recent trades.

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge of real-world events. Traders buy and sell shares on outcomes for topics ranging from politics and elections to crypto, finance, sports, tech, and culture, including markets like "Eurovision 2026: Televote Winner." Prices reflect real-time, crowd-sourced probabilities backed by financial conviction, often providing faster and more accurate signals than polls, pundits, or traditional surveys.

Eurovision 2026: Televote Winner

Eurovision 2026: Televote Winner

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the "Eurovision 2026: Televote Winner" prediction market?

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What does a price of 33¢ for "Israel" mean?

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