Delaware's entrenched Democratic advantage and incumbent Sen. Chris Coons' established position drive the 94.5% implied probability for a Democratic winner in the 2026 Senate race. The state delivered a 15-point margin for the Democratic presidential nominee in 2024 and has not elected a Republican to the chamber since 1994, while Coons secured 59% in his last contest. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of September primaries and the November general election. Republican contenders, including Michael Katz, face limited visibility and resources in this environment. Scenarios that could narrow the gap remain narrow and would require major shifts such as an unexpected primary upset or late national political realignment, though no such developments have materialized.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado$12,252 Vol.
$12,252 Vol.

Democrata
95%

Republicano
6%
$12,252 Vol.
$12,252 Vol.

Democrata
95%

Republicano
6%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado Aberto: Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Delaware's entrenched Democratic advantage and incumbent Sen. Chris Coons' established position drive the 94.5% implied probability for a Democratic winner in the 2026 Senate race. The state delivered a 15-point margin for the Democratic presidential nominee in 2024 and has not elected a Republican to the chamber since 1994, while Coons secured 59% in his last contest. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of September primaries and the November general election. Republican contenders, including Michael Katz, face limited visibility and resources in this environment. Scenarios that could narrow the gap remain narrow and would require major shifts such as an unexpected primary upset or late national political realignment, though no such developments have materialized.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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