Ohio's 11th congressional district remains a deep Democratic stronghold encompassing Cleveland and surrounding Cuyahoga County suburbs, where the party has consistently secured large margins in recent cycles. Incumbent Shontel Brown advanced easily through the May 5, 2026 Democratic primary and faces Republican nominee Mike Kirchner in the November general election. Trader consensus at 94.5% for Democrats reflects this structural advantage along with Brown's established position and limited Republican infrastructure in the district. Shifts could occur from an unforeseen national political wave, candidate health developments, or late scandals, though historical voting patterns and the absence of competitive indicators make such reversals improbable before Election Day.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição para a Câmara dos Deputados OH-11
Partido Democrata
95%
Partido Republicano
6%
Partido Democrata
95%
Partido Republicano
6%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Ohio's 11th congressional district remains a deep Democratic stronghold encompassing Cleveland and surrounding Cuyahoga County suburbs, where the party has consistently secured large margins in recent cycles. Incumbent Shontel Brown advanced easily through the May 5, 2026 Democratic primary and faces Republican nominee Mike Kirchner in the November general election. Trader consensus at 94.5% for Democrats reflects this structural advantage along with Brown's established position and limited Republican infrastructure in the district. Shifts could occur from an unforeseen national political wave, candidate health developments, or late scandals, though historical voting patterns and the absence of competitive indicators make such reversals improbable before Election Day.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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