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Política·MIDTERMS

Vencedor da eleição da casa CA-37 (individual)

icon for Vencedor da eleição da casa CA-37 (individual)
Política·MIDTERMS

Vencedor da eleição da casa CA-37 (individual)

$23,237 Vol.

Polymarket

$23,237 Vol.

Sydney Kamlager-Dove

$22,403 Vol.

95%

Samantha Mota

$834 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-37 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Sydney Kamlager-Dove holds a commanding lead in the CA-37 House race due to the district’s strong Democratic lean, her established incumbency advantages, and the absence of competitive opposition following the June 2026 primary. She secured over 55 percent in that contest, advancing alongside Democratic challenger Samantha Mota to the November general election in a seat long rated among California’s safest for the party. Recent legislative activity, including funding secured for local projects and bills addressing immigration detention and education access, reinforces her visibility and constituent ties without notable counter-mobilization from rivals. Trader consensus reflects these structural barriers, though low-probability shifts could arise from late scandals, health developments, or an unforeseen surge in turnout or outside spending that elevates Mota’s profile before Election Day.

This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-37 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$23,237
Data de Término
3 nov 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jul 9, 2026, 10:11 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-37 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-37 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Sydney Kamlager-Dove holds a commanding lead in the CA-37 House race due to the district’s strong Democratic lean, her established incumbency advantages, and the absence of competitive opposition following the June 2026 primary. She secured over 55 percent in that contest, advancing alongside Democratic challenger Samantha Mota to the November general election in a seat long rated among California’s safest for the party. Recent legislative activity, including funding secured for local projects and bills addressing immigration detention and education access, reinforces her visibility and constituent ties without notable counter-mobilization from rivals. Trader consensus reflects these structural barriers, though low-probability shifts could arise from late scandals, health developments, or an unforeseen surge in turnout or outside spending that elevates Mota’s profile before Election Day.

This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-37 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$23,237
Data de Término
3 nov 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jul 9, 2026, 10:11 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-37 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).

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Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor da eleição da casa CA-37 (individual)" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Sydney Kamlager-Dove" at 95%, followed by "Samantha Mota" at 2%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 95¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 95% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vencedor da eleição da casa CA-37 (individual)" has generated $23.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 9, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vencedor da eleição da casa CA-37 (individual)," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor da eleição da casa CA-37 (individual)" is "Sydney Kamlager-Dove" at 95%, meaning the market assigns a 95% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Samantha Mota" at 2%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor da eleição da casa CA-37 (individual)" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.