Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 89.5% implied probability to Anthropic releasing Claude 4.7 on or before April 16, driven by The Information's April 15 report citing sources that the flagship large language model—expected to advance coding and reasoning benchmarks beyond Claude Opus 4.6's February launch—is slated for this week alongside an AI-powered web design tool. Codebase leaks from late March exposed Opus 4.7 references and features like multi-agent orchestration, fueling anticipation, while Claude Code's recent app redesign hints at imminent deployment. This reflects Anthropic's accelerated 2026 cadence amid AI competition, though brief delays remain possible per typical model rollout uncertainties; public availability today would resolve the market.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoClaude 4.7 solto em...?
Claude 4.7 solto em...?
Em ou antes de 16 de abril 90%
17 de abril 3.5%
21 de abril 1.5%
18 de abril 1.4%
$76,135 Vol.
$76,135 Vol.
Em ou antes de 16 de abril
90%
17 de abril
4%
18 de abril
1%
19 de abril
1%
20 de abril
1%
21 de abril
1%
22 de abril
<1%
23 de abril
<1%
24 de abril
1%
25 de abril
1%
26 de abril
<1%
27 de abril
<1%
28 de abril
<1%
29 de abril
1%
30 de abril
<1%
Não lançado até 30 de abril
<1%
Em ou antes de 16 de abril 90%
17 de abril 3.5%
21 de abril 1.5%
18 de abril 1.4%
$76,135 Vol.
$76,135 Vol.
Em ou antes de 16 de abril
90%
17 de abril
4%
18 de abril
1%
19 de abril
1%
20 de abril
1%
21 de abril
1%
22 de abril
<1%
23 de abril
<1%
24 de abril
1%
25 de abril
1%
26 de abril
<1%
27 de abril
<1%
28 de abril
<1%
29 de abril
1%
30 de abril
<1%
Não lançado até 30 de abril
<1%
Claude 4.7 refers to a product explicitly named Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.7, or a variant that is recognized as a successor to Claude 4.6, similar to the progression from Claude 4.2 to Claude 4.3. (e.g., Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.8, 4.9, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models, cost-efficiency variants, or similar will count for this market.
Products labeled as a new flagship generation such as Claude 5 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 15, 2026, 10:11 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Claude 4.7 refers to a product explicitly named Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.7, or a variant that is recognized as a successor to Claude 4.6, similar to the progression from Claude 4.2 to Claude 4.3. (e.g., Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.8, 4.9, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models, cost-efficiency variants, or similar will count for this market.
Products labeled as a new flagship generation such as Claude 5 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 89.5% implied probability to Anthropic releasing Claude 4.7 on or before April 16, driven by The Information's April 15 report citing sources that the flagship large language model—expected to advance coding and reasoning benchmarks beyond Claude Opus 4.6's February launch—is slated for this week alongside an AI-powered web design tool. Codebase leaks from late March exposed Opus 4.7 references and features like multi-agent orchestration, fueling anticipation, while Claude Code's recent app redesign hints at imminent deployment. This reflects Anthropic's accelerated 2026 cadence amid AI competition, though brief delays remain possible per typical model rollout uncertainties; public availability today would resolve the market.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions