Apple’s shift to a split iPhone launch schedule is the main driver behind market odds on the base iPhone 18 release. Supply-chain reports and analysts including Ming-Chi Kuo confirm that only the iPhone 18 Pro, Pro Max, and new foldable model launched in September 2026 following the September 9 keynote, with preorders starting September 12 and availability on September 18. The standard iPhone 18, along with the iPhone 18e and iPhone Air 2, is now slated for a spring 2027 debut to better segment premium and entry-level models and ease manufacturing pressure. This aligns with Apple’s recent pattern of staggering lower-tier devices and reflects credible supplier comments about postponed lens production. Traders are watching for any March 2027 event or official confirmation that could resolve the timeline.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoIPhone base 18 lançado por...?
28 de fevereiro de 2027
25%
31 de março de 2027
71%
30 de abril de 2027
84%
$252 Vol.
28 de fevereiro de 2027
25%
31 de março de 2027
71%
30 de abril de 2027
84%
The base iPhone 18 means the standard model of Apple's iPhone 18 generation, marketed by Apple as "iPhone 18" with no further designation. The iPhone 18 Pro, iPhone 18 Pro Max, iPhone 18e, iPhone Air 2, the foldable iPhone, and any phone released under any other name will not qualify, regardless of when it is released.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase and delivery or pickup by the general public in the United States within the specified timeframe. An announcement, unveiling, or pre-order period alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 18, 2026, 5:52 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The base iPhone 18 means the standard model of Apple's iPhone 18 generation, marketed by Apple as "iPhone 18" with no further designation. The iPhone 18 Pro, iPhone 18 Pro Max, iPhone 18e, iPhone Air 2, the foldable iPhone, and any phone released under any other name will not qualify, regardless of when it is released.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase and delivery or pickup by the general public in the United States within the specified timeframe. An announcement, unveiling, or pre-order period alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Apple’s shift to a split iPhone launch schedule is the main driver behind market odds on the base iPhone 18 release. Supply-chain reports and analysts including Ming-Chi Kuo confirm that only the iPhone 18 Pro, Pro Max, and new foldable model launched in September 2026 following the September 9 keynote, with preorders starting September 12 and availability on September 18. The standard iPhone 18, along with the iPhone 18e and iPhone Air 2, is now slated for a spring 2027 debut to better segment premium and entry-level models and ease manufacturing pressure. This aligns with Apple’s recent pattern of staggering lower-tier devices and reflects credible supplier comments about postponed lens production. Traders are watching for any March 2027 event or official confirmation that could resolve the timeline.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado



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