Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors "No" at 92% implied probability for an Apple Vision Pro 2 release before 2027, driven by the original spatial computing headset's persistent sales struggles—IDC reported just 45,000 units shipped in Q4 2025 amid production cuts and slashed marketing. Apple's October 2025 M5 chip refresh served as a stopgap rather than a true successor, reflecting internal pivots toward cheaper "Vision Air" models or smart glasses projected for 2027 per supply chain leaks. This aligns with Apple's multi-year hardware cycles and pauses in high-end headset development amid weak adoption. A surprise could emerge from WWDC 2026 announcements or sudden demand uptick, but absent resolved software issues or regulatory nods, delays remain the baseline expectation.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoApple Vision Pro 2 lançado antes de 2027?
Apple Vision Pro 2 lançado antes de 2027?
Sim
Sim
A qualifying product must be named "Apple Vision" and be recognized as a successor to the original Apple Vision Pro product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 14 and iPhone 15. A new Apple Vision product released without a number, under a designation other than Apple Vision Pro 2 will qualify if it retains the original functions of the Apple Vision Pro and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
Releases framed as an upgrade or refresh (e.g. the 2025 release of the Apple Vision Pro with an M5 chip) will not qualify as a successor to the original Apple Vision Pro product.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Dec 12, 2025, 5:54 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A qualifying product must be named "Apple Vision" and be recognized as a successor to the original Apple Vision Pro product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 14 and iPhone 15. A new Apple Vision product released without a number, under a designation other than Apple Vision Pro 2 will qualify if it retains the original functions of the Apple Vision Pro and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
Releases framed as an upgrade or refresh (e.g. the 2025 release of the Apple Vision Pro with an M5 chip) will not qualify as a successor to the original Apple Vision Pro product.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors "No" at 92% implied probability for an Apple Vision Pro 2 release before 2027, driven by the original spatial computing headset's persistent sales struggles—IDC reported just 45,000 units shipped in Q4 2025 amid production cuts and slashed marketing. Apple's October 2025 M5 chip refresh served as a stopgap rather than a true successor, reflecting internal pivots toward cheaper "Vision Air" models or smart glasses projected for 2027 per supply chain leaks. This aligns with Apple's multi-year hardware cycles and pauses in high-end headset development amid weak adoption. A surprise could emerge from WWDC 2026 announcements or sudden demand uptick, but absent resolved software issues or regulatory nods, delays remain the baseline expectation.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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