Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 89.5% implied probability for the Bank of Israel to hold its benchmark interest rate steady at 4% in the May 25, 2026 meeting, driven by the Monetary Committee's March 30 decision to maintain rates amid escalating inflationary pressures from geopolitical tensions, including the Iran war. Annual inflation rose to 2.0% in February—within the 1-3% target but ticking higher—while the Bank trimmed its 2026 GDP growth forecast to 3.8% from 5.2%, signaling caution on monetary easing. Decrease odds at 9.0% reflect projections for gradual cuts to around 3.5% by early 2027, contingent on sustained disinflation, with hikes at 0.7% dismissed absent a sharper price surge. Key watches include upcoming CPI data and fiscal budget updates.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoDecisão do Banco de Israel em maio?
Decisão do Banco de Israel em maio?
Sem Alteração 90%
Redução 9%
Aumentar <1%
$11,919 Vol.
$11,919 Vol.
Redução
9%
Sem Alteração
90%
Aumentar
1%
Sem Alteração 90%
Redução 9%
Aumentar <1%
$11,919 Vol.
$11,919 Vol.
Redução
9%
Sem Alteração
90%
Aumentar
1%
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Israel after its May 25, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Bank of Israel interest rate decision schedule: https://www.boi.org.il/en/economic-roles/monetary-policy/interest-rate-announcement-dates-2025-2026/#
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Israel's announcement of their May 25, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the Bank of Israel Interest Rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Mercado Aberto: Feb 25, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Israel after its May 25, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Bank of Israel interest rate decision schedule: https://www.boi.org.il/en/economic-roles/monetary-policy/interest-rate-announcement-dates-2025-2026/#
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Israel's announcement of their May 25, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the Bank of Israel Interest Rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 89.5% implied probability for the Bank of Israel to hold its benchmark interest rate steady at 4% in the May 25, 2026 meeting, driven by the Monetary Committee's March 30 decision to maintain rates amid escalating inflationary pressures from geopolitical tensions, including the Iran war. Annual inflation rose to 2.0% in February—within the 1-3% target but ticking higher—while the Bank trimmed its 2026 GDP growth forecast to 3.8% from 5.2%, signaling caution on monetary easing. Decrease odds at 9.0% reflect projections for gradual cuts to around 3.5% by early 2027, contingent on sustained disinflation, with hikes at 0.7% dismissed absent a sharper price surge. Key watches include upcoming CPI data and fiscal budget updates.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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