Peasantfarmer

Joined May 2026·14 views

$191.86

Positions Value

$26.30

Biggest Win

233

Markets Traded

Total PnL: -$417.61
Total Volume: 13.1K

Profit/Loss

-$5.32

Past Day

Market

Avg

Puffpaw FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Yes 17.7¢

45.0 shares

17.7¢

100¢

$44.96$36.98 (463.64%)

Puffpaw FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Yes 17.7¢

45.0 shares

$44.96$36.98 (463.64%)

Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

Yes 13.5¢

50.1 shares

13.5¢

34.5¢

$17.29$10.53 (155.97%)

Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

Yes 13.5¢

50.1 shares

$17.29$10.53 (155.97%)

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 18.5¢

54.2 shares

18.5¢

17.3¢

$9.41-$0.62 (-6.19%)

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 18.5¢

54.2 shares

$9.41-$0.62 (-6.19%)

Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

Yes 18¢

83.4 shares

18¢

8.5¢

$7.09-$7.92 (-52.78%)

Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

Yes 18¢

83.4 shares

$7.09-$7.92 (-52.78%)

Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?

Yes 12¢

43.5 shares

12¢

13.5¢

$5.87$0.65 (12.5%)

Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?

Yes 12¢

43.5 shares

$5.87$0.65 (12.5%)

Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?

Yes 16.6¢

30.1 shares

16.6¢

17.7¢

$5.32$0.32 (6.32%)

Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?

Yes 16.6¢

30.1 shares

$5.32$0.32 (6.32%)

Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Yes 16.2¢

50.8 shares

16.2¢

10¢

$5.05-$3.20 (-38.77%)

Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Yes 16.2¢

50.8 shares

$5.05-$3.20 (-38.77%)

Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?

Yes 20¢

51.3 shares

20¢

9.5¢

$4.87-$5.38 (-52.5%)

Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?

Yes 20¢

51.3 shares

$4.87-$5.38 (-52.5%)

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 15.3¢

52.4 shares

15.3¢

7.6¢

$4.01-$4.02 (-50.09%)

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 15.3¢

52.4 shares

$4.01-$4.02 (-50.09%)

Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?

Yes 16¢

30.3 shares

16¢

12¢

$3.64-$1.21 (-25%)

Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?

Yes 16¢

30.3 shares

$3.64-$1.21 (-25%)

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 13.2¢

37.9 shares

13.2¢

9.3¢

$3.50-$1.50 (-29.92%)

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 13.2¢

37.9 shares

$3.50-$1.50 (-29.92%)

Will Lovable be acquired before 2027?

Yes 14¢

74.1 shares

14¢

4.7¢

$3.48-$6.89 (-66.43%)

Will Lovable be acquired before 2027?

Yes 14¢

74.1 shares

$3.48-$6.89 (-66.43%)

New COVID variant of concern before 2027?

Yes 18¢

47.4 shares

18¢

6¢

$2.84-$5.69 (-66.67%)

New COVID variant of concern before 2027?

Yes 18¢

47.4 shares

$2.84-$5.69 (-66.67%)

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?

Yes 12.8¢

46.5 shares

12.8¢

5.5¢

$2.56-$3.38 (-56.89%)

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?

Yes 12.8¢

46.5 shares

$2.56-$3.38 (-56.89%)

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

Yes 13.7¢

74.7 shares

13.7¢

3.1¢

$2.28-$7.94 (-77.69%)

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

Yes 13.7¢

74.7 shares

$2.28-$7.94 (-77.69%)

China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?

Yes 14¢

38.5 shares

14¢

5.5¢

$2.12-$3.27 (-60.71%)

China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?

Yes 14¢

38.5 shares

$2.12-$3.27 (-60.71%)

Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?

No 14¢

37.0 shares

14¢

5.7¢

$2.09-$3.09 (-59.64%)

Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?

No 14¢

37.0 shares

$2.09-$3.09 (-59.64%)

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

Yes 19¢

52.7 shares

19¢

4¢

$2.08-$7.91 (-79.18%)

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

Yes 19¢

52.7 shares

$2.08-$7.91 (-79.18%)

Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?

No 18.9¢

51.1 shares

18.9¢

4.1¢

$2.07-$7.57 (-78.55%)

Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?

No 18.9¢

51.1 shares

$2.07-$7.57 (-78.55%)

US recession by end of 2026?

Yes 17.3¢

53.6 shares

17.3¢

3.8¢

$2.04-$7.23 (-78.01%)

US recession by end of 2026?

Yes 17.3¢

53.6 shares

$2.04-$7.23 (-78.01%)