orzanovn
Joined Jan 2026·899 views
$1,567.99
Positions Value
$3,714.52
Biggest Win
286
Predictions
Profit/Loss
Past Day
Current

Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?
Yes 54.6¢
2,500.0 shares$575.00-$790.25 (-57.88%)

Trump out as President before 2027?
Yes 16¢
5,000.0 shares$475.00-$324.89 (-40.62%)

Will any Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Exam?
Yes 81.9¢
400.0 shares81.9¢
52¢
$208.00-$119.41 (-36.47%)

Will any Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Exam?
Yes 81.9¢
400.0 shares$208.00-$119.41 (-36.47%)

Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
Yes 64.6¢
600.0 shares64.6¢
20.5¢
$123.00-$264.42 (-68.25%)

Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
Yes 64.6¢
600.0 shares$123.00-$264.42 (-68.25%)

Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?
Yes 33¢
3,000.0 shares$102.00-$888.26 (-89.7%)

Trump out as President by June 30?
Yes 7¢
5,000.0 shares$70.00-$280.00 (-80%)

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Yes 4.4¢
2,000.0 shares4.4¢
0.8¢
$15.00-$72.61 (-82.88%)

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Yes 4.4¢
2,000.0 shares$15.00-$72.61 (-82.88%)