US-geo promotional popup. Variant sets the initial state (expanded vs minimized).

us_popup

Improved notification preferences and types.

notifications_v2

authenticated_book_ws

Improved in-game view for sports markets.

mobile_sports_overlay_v2

async_order_submission

Enable updates from the sports websocket.

sports_websocket

Show/hide language selector in navigation

language_selector

Auto-detect and redirect based on browser language

auto_locale_detection

Show BTC 15-minute up/down market in 3rd slot on homepage.

homepage_btc_15m_slot

signup_prompt

Show personalized Picked for You shelf on homepage

picked_for_you

Auto-redeem prompt for closed market positions

auto_redeem

Kill switch — when enabled, hides sponsor and cancel-sponsorship UI

disable_sponsor_markets

Route /search to the search ranking service

search_ranking

Route navbar search to the search ranking service

search_ranking_autocomplete

Route /search and navbar search to Shaped-backed /search-v3 (vs Typesense /search-v2).

search_v3

Enables the new contracts (PMCT) migration: post-migration modal, USDCe→pUSD wrap UI, new allowance reads/approvals, balance upgrade prompts, and the cancelled-orders portfolio tab.

enable_pmct_migration

Will OpenAI GPT score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?

Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before June 30, 2026?

Will Claude go down 6-8 times in June?

Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1450?

Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470?

Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?

Will Claude go down 9-11 times in June?

Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?

Will Claude go down 12+ times in June?

Will OpenAI have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?

Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 15 and June 21, 2026?

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET

XRP Up or Down - January 17, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET

XRP Up or Down - January 17, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET

Solana Up or Down - January 17, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET

Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET

Will any OpenAI GPT model score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Exam?

Will any other model be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET

iawa

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?

Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 1AM ET

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET

Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 7AM ET

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET

Ethereum Up or Down - January 13, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET

Activity

Approve token spending for trading

Deploy a smart contract wallet to enable trading

Sign a message to generate your API keys

Enable Trading

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Your account needs to migrate to a new wallet to continue trading. Deploy your new deposit wallet, then transfer your funds over.

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Migration complete

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Buy ‘Yes’ or ‘No’ shares depending on your prediction. Odds shift in real time as other traders get in on the action.

1. Pick a Polymarket

1. Explore our Polymarkets

Fund your account with crypto, debit card, or bank transfer—then you're ready to trade.

2. Place a Trade

Sell your 'Yes' or 'No' shares at any time, or wait until the market ends to redeem winning shares for $1 each. Create an account and place your first trade in minutes.

3. Redeem

Leaderboard

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and attest that you are not (i) a U.S. person; (ii) located in the United States, France or other restricted jurisdiction; and (iii) using a VPN or other measures to circumvent or attempt to circumvent restrictions. Polymarket reserves the right to put your wallet in close-only mode if you do not comply with these Terms.

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To continue to access trading functionality on the site, please fill out 

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Your account has been placed into close only mode due to a potential violation of our Terms of Service. You may close out of your existing positions but not enter into new ones. Reach out to

Trading Halted

Trading is unavailable in the locations below. Use of measures to circumvent or attempt to circumvent these restrictions is prohibited.

View-only mode

{count} Orders

When you win, your payout hits your balance automatically. No more manual steps.

Auto-Redeem Disabled

Auto-Redeem Enabled

Auto-Redeem Failed

Re-enable Auto-Redeem

Auto-redeem wins

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Something went wrong

You can close out these resolved positions to realize the loss.

Polymarkets Lost

Redeem Failed

This will merge all eligible market positions.

Merge ${amount} in positions

Your winnings are ready. Get back to trading!

I just won ${amount} on @Polymarket!

Join me and put your money where your mouth is:

Your Polymarket Wallet Address

I just built a combo on @Polymarket.

Trade against me:

I just put my money where my mouth is on @Polymarket.

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Combo updated

You sold your combo position for {amount}

The quote expired before it could be filled. Your position is unchanged, try again to get a fresh price.

Couldn't complete cash out

Combo failed

Merge a share of Yes and No to get 1 USDC. You can do this to save cost when trying to get rid of a position.

Merge shares

Order Book

Major Price Slippage

Split a USDC into a share of Yes and No. You can do this to save cost by getting both and just selling the other side.

Split shares

By trading, you agree to the Terms of Use, including that you are not (i) a U.S. person and (ii) located in the United States, France or other restricted territory.

To start trading with the upgraded system, approve the migration in your wallet. This is a one-time action.

Complete migration

Your USDC.e will be converted to pUSD at a 1:1 rate. No fees, all positions included, fully redeemable.

Balance migration

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Log in to continue

Your balance and positions have been migrated. You're all set.

Migration Complete

We've made some changes under the hood to make trading more reliable.

Profit/Loss