Profit/Loss
Past Day

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
22.8¢
26.3¢

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
9.2¢
14.9¢

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
12.7¢
17.4¢

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
39.6¢
55¢

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
11.5¢
8.5¢

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
2.9¢
3.2¢

Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
4.7¢
14.5¢

Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
5.5¢
7.7¢

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country?
2.3¢
14.6¢

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country?

Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?
11.2¢
6¢

Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?
14¢
12.5¢

Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?

Will Google Gemini score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
54.2¢
30¢

Will Google Gemini score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by July 31?

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?
3.5¢
2.3¢

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?

Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?

Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?
4¢
2.5¢

Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?
31.2¢
9.2¢

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

Will OpenAI IPO by August 31 2026?
