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Medal predictions & odds

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Who will win the 2026 Fields Medal?

Who will win the 2026 Fields Medal?

56%

Hong Wang

$523K Vol.

$5.1K Liq.

Ends in 2 months

AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?

AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?

73%

$4.8K Vol.

$1.4K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

97%

December 31, 2026

$3M Vol.

$5.0K Liq.

125

Ends in about 1 month

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

55%

December 31, 2027

$480K Vol.

$5.7K Liq.

33

Will Snowflake Q1 Product revenue be above __?

Will Snowflake Q1 Product revenue be above __?

96%

$1.25B

$5.6K Vol.

$7.4K Liq.

Ends in 10 days

Will Deckers Q4 HOKA revenue be above __ ?

Will Deckers Q4 HOKA revenue be above __ ?

93%

$660M

$53 Vol.

$3.2K Liq.

Ends in 4 days

FIFA World Cup: Most Goal Contributions

FIFA World Cup: Most Goal Contributions

37%

Ismael Díaz

$5.9K Vol.

$13.4K Liq.

1

Ends in 2 months

Home Depot Q1 comparable sales growth?

Home Depot Q1 comparable sales growth?

31%

0.5%–1%

$1.8K Vol.

$4.6K Liq.

Ends in 2 days

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

4%

May 31

$146K Vol.

$18.9K Liq.

10

MLB: AL Platinum Glove Winner

MLB: AL Platinum Glove Winner

15%

Bobby Witt Jr.

$13.8K Vol.

$5.9K Liq.

1

Ends in 7 months

Zelenskyy # posts May 15 - May 22, 2026?

Zelenskyy # posts May 15 - May 22, 2026?

43%

80-99

$7.1K Vol.

$4.4K Liq.

Ends in 5 days

Zelenskyy # posts May 19 - May 26, 2026?

Zelenskyy # posts May 19 - May 26, 2026?

35%

80-99

$833 Vol.

$2.6K Liq.

Ends in 9 days

MLB: NL Platinum Glove Winner

MLB: NL Platinum Glove Winner

38%

Pete Crow-Armstrong

$10.9K Vol.

$4.7K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

TJX Q1 comp sales growth?

TJX Q1 comp sales growth?

47%

<3%

$0 Vol.

$98 Liq.

Ends in 3 days

Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - IEM Atlanta Playoffs

Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - IEM Atlanta Playoffs

80%

Natus Vincere

$23.0K Vol.

$153K Liq.

Ends in about 19 hours

Zelenskyy # posts May 12 - May 19, 2026?

Zelenskyy # posts May 12 - May 19, 2026?

44%

80-99

$18.7K Vol.

$6.4K Liq.

Ends in 2 days

What will Trump post this week? (May 24)

What will Trump post this week? (May 24)

93%

Big / Bigger / Biggest

$283 Vol.

$4.2K Liq.

Ends in 7 days

Will Workday Q1 total subscription revenue backlog be above __?

Will Workday Q1 total subscription revenue backlog be above __?

91%

$27.5B

$619 Vol.

$103 Liq.

Ends in 4 days

Will Keysight's Q2 orders be above __?

Will Keysight's Q2 orders be above __?

94%

$1.65B

$343 Vol.

$680 Liq.

Ends in 2 days

Counter-Strike: MASONIC vs struggletony (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group Stage

Counter-Strike: MASONIC vs struggletony (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group Stage

100%

struggletony

$5.6K Vol.

$1 Liq.

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Medal.

Polymarket currently hosts 102 active markets for Medal that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Who will win the 2026 Fields Medal?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $3.8M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Counter-Strike: MASONIC vs struggletony (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group Stage”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “MegaETH airdrop by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “MegaETH airdrop by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 83% chance to December 31, 2026. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Medal predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.