Israel heads into October 27, 2026, Knesset elections with Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s Likud-led coalition polling around 51–54 seats in the 120-member parliament, short of the 61-seat majority needed to retain power. Recent surveys show his bloc trading narrow leads or deficits with opposition lists led by Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar and Naftali Bennett’s Together, leaving Arab parties holding balance-of-power seats but largely ruled out of coalitions by both sides. Netanyahu has publicly called for a “broad national government” under his leadership while retaining key far-right and ultra-Orthodox partners, amid ongoing debates over judicial changes, Haredi conscription, and security policy. Any shift in government would likely require extended post-election coalition talks stretching into December or later.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoNetanyahu meets Trump amid widening gaps on Iran war management
December 31 dips to 40%4%
The meeting between Netanyahu and Trump highlighted growing differences on handling the Iran conflict, underscoring diplomatic strains that influenced market perceptions of Netanyahu's political durability.




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