BJP's landslide victory in West Bengal's May 4 assembly elections, securing over 200 of 294 seats and ending Trinamool Congress's decade-long rule, has solidified Prime Minister Narendra Modi's NDA coalition dominance and trader confidence in his tenure through 2026. This breakthrough in a key opposition stronghold offsets an April parliamentary defeat on a Constitution Amendment Bill, with no active no-confidence motions, health concerns, or resignation signals reported. Lacking national elections until 2029, the Lok Sabha's stability and Modi's grip on coalition partners underpin the 90.8% "No" implied probability, though late-breaking scandals or internal NDA rifts could shift odds.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoModi out by December 31, 2026?
Modi out by December 31, 2026?
$28,413 Wol.
$28,413 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
$28,413 Wol.
$28,413 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.BJP's landslide victory in West Bengal's May 4 assembly elections, securing over 200 of 294 seats and ending Trinamool Congress's decade-long rule, has solidified Prime Minister Narendra Modi's NDA coalition dominance and trader confidence in his tenure through 2026. This breakthrough in a key opposition stronghold offsets an April parliamentary defeat on a Constitution Amendment Bill, with no active no-confidence motions, health concerns, or resignation signals reported. Lacking national elections until 2029, the Lok Sabha's stability and Modi's grip on coalition partners underpin the 90.8% "No" implied probability, though late-breaking scandals or internal NDA rifts could shift odds.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ET
Wolumen
$28,413Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.BJP's landslide victory in West Bengal's May 4 assembly elections, securing over 200 of 294 seats and ending Trinamool Congress's decade-long rule, has solidified Prime Minister Narendra Modi's NDA coalition dominance and trader confidence in his tenure through 2026. This breakthrough in a key opposition stronghold offsets an April parliamentary defeat on a Constitution Amendment Bill, with no active no-confidence motions, health concerns, or resignation signals reported. Lacking national elections until 2029, the Lok Sabha's stability and Modi's grip on coalition partners underpin the 90.8% "No" implied probability, though late-breaking scandals or internal NDA rifts could shift odds.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$28,413Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...BJP's landslide victory in West Bengal's May 4 assembly elections, securing over 200 of 294 seats and ending Trinamool Congress's decade-long rule, has solidified Prime Minister Narendra Modi's NDA coalition dominance and trader confidence in his tenure through 2026. This breakthrough in a key opposition stronghold offsets an April parliamentary defeat on a Constitution Amendment Bill, with no active no-confidence motions, health concerns, or resignation signals reported. Lacking national elections until 2029, the Lok Sabha's stability and Modi's grip on coalition partners underpin the 90.8% "No" implied probability, though late-breaking scandals or internal NDA rifts could shift odds.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania