Meta is advancing its Mango image and video generation model as part of a broader push in multimodal AI, with internal roadmaps from late 2025 targeting a first-half 2026 launch alongside the text-focused Avocado large language model. Development occurs under Meta’s Superintelligence Labs, led by Alexandr Wang, positioning the effort to compete in the crowded generative AI space against rivals like Google’s Veo and OpenAI’s Sora. Reports indicate an initial internal delivery milestone in January 2026, though a March performance-related delay for related models introduced timeline uncertainty. Traders are monitoring for official announcements or previews ahead of mid-year, as the market-implied odds reflect bets on whether Mango ships by June amid typical AI development slippage and competitive pressures.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoMeta "Mango" model released by...?
$26,360 Wol.
June 30
42%
$26,360 Wol.
June 30
42%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Meta makes a new frontier AI model for image and video generation, or any model confirmed by Meta to be the model codenamed “Mango” during development, available to the general public by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A frontier AI image and video model refers to a newly released Meta model that Meta describes as one of its most capable or next-generation, general-purpose flagship models for both image and video generation.
A qualifying model must be a general purpose model for image and video generation. Models which are focused on a specific aspect of image or video creation (e.g. computer vision or video segmentation) will not qualify.
Upgrades or successors to previous Meta models (e.g. Emu or SAM) will not count unless explicitly confirmed by Meta to be the model codenamed “Mango” during development or described by Meta as a frontier AI model for both image and video generation.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the relevant model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling free waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Meta as being accessible to the general public.
A publicly-confirmed integration of a qualifying model into one of Meta’s primary AI buttons or portals (e.g. Instagram or Whatsapp) will qualify as a public release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Meta, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Rynek otwarty: Dec 22, 2025, 1:23 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Meta makes a new frontier AI model for image and video generation, or any model confirmed by Meta to be the model codenamed “Mango” during development, available to the general public by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A frontier AI image and video model refers to a newly released Meta model that Meta describes as one of its most capable or next-generation, general-purpose flagship models for both image and video generation.
A qualifying model must be a general purpose model for image and video generation. Models which are focused on a specific aspect of image or video creation (e.g. computer vision or video segmentation) will not qualify.
Upgrades or successors to previous Meta models (e.g. Emu or SAM) will not count unless explicitly confirmed by Meta to be the model codenamed “Mango” during development or described by Meta as a frontier AI model for both image and video generation.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the relevant model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling free waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Meta as being accessible to the general public.
A publicly-confirmed integration of a qualifying model into one of Meta’s primary AI buttons or portals (e.g. Instagram or Whatsapp) will qualify as a public release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Meta, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Meta is advancing its Mango image and video generation model as part of a broader push in multimodal AI, with internal roadmaps from late 2025 targeting a first-half 2026 launch alongside the text-focused Avocado large language model. Development occurs under Meta’s Superintelligence Labs, led by Alexandr Wang, positioning the effort to compete in the crowded generative AI space against rivals like Google’s Veo and OpenAI’s Sora. Reports indicate an initial internal delivery milestone in January 2026, though a March performance-related delay for related models introduced timeline uncertainty. Traders are monitoring for official announcements or previews ahead of mid-year, as the market-implied odds reflect bets on whether Mango ships by June amid typical AI development slippage and competitive pressures.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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