Trader sentiment strongly favors Anthropic at 77.5% implied probability for the leading Text Arena Math AI model by end of September, reflecting its consistent edge in mathematical reasoning benchmarks and large language model capabilities. OpenAI trails at 14.5% and Google at 5.5% as competitors close capability gaps through iterative releases, while most other labs sit near 0.1% amid limited demonstrated progress in this specialized arena. The market aggregates real-capital trader views on verified performance metrics rather than speculation, with Anthropic's recent model refinements in handling complex problem-solving providing the primary catalyst. New releases or benchmark updates from leading labs over the next six weeks represent the main swing factors that could alter these probabilities before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoWhich company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of September?
Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of September?
Anthropic 78%
OpenAI 14%
Google 7%
Alibaba <1%
$27,985 Wol.
$27,985 Wol.
Sep 30, 2026
Anthropic
78%
OpenAI
14%
7%
Alibaba
<1%
Moonshot
<1%
SpaceXAI
<1%
Baidu
<1%
Z.ai
<1%
Xiaomi
<1%
Meta
<1%
Nvidia
<1%
DeepSeek
<1%
MiniMax
<1%
Meituan
<1%
Amazon
<1%
ByteDance
<1%
Mistral
<1%
Tencent
<1%
StepFun
<1%
Microsoft
<1%
Anthropic 78%
OpenAI 14%
Google 7%
Alibaba <1%
$27,985 Wol.
$27,985 Wol.
Sep 30, 2026
Anthropic
$7,619 Wol.
78%
OpenAI
$8,647 Wol.
14%
$2,024 Wol.
7%
Alibaba
$995 Wol.
<1%
Moonshot
$891 Wol.
<1%
SpaceXAI
$527 Wol.
<1%
Baidu
$642 Wol.
<1%
Z.ai
$480 Wol.
<1%
Xiaomi
$618 Wol.
<1%
Meta
$469 Wol.
<1%
Nvidia
$499 Wol.
<1%
DeepSeek
$565 Wol.
<1%
MiniMax
$458 Wol.
<1%
Meituan
$466 Wol.
<1%
Amazon
$450 Wol.
<1%
ByteDance
$449 Wol.
<1%
Mistral
$459 Wol.
<1%
Tencent
$609 Wol.
<1%
StepFun
$518 Wol.
<1%
Microsoft
$599 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Trader sentiment strongly favors Anthropic at 77.5% implied probability for the leading Text Arena Math AI model by end of September, reflecting its consistent edge in mathematical reasoning benchmarks and large language model capabilities. OpenAI trails at 14.5% and Google at 5.5% as competitors close capability gaps through iterative releases, while most other labs sit near 0.1% amid limited demonstrated progress in this specialized arena. The market aggregates real-capital trader views on verified performance metrics rather than speculation, with Anthropic's recent model refinements in handling complex problem-solving providing the primary catalyst. New releases or benchmark updates from leading labs over the next six weeks represent the main swing factors that could alter these probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Rynek otwarty: Jul 20, 2026, 7:29 PM ET
Wolumen
$27,985Data zakończenia
Sep 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 20, 2026, 7:29 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-controlResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Trader sentiment strongly favors Anthropic at 77.5% implied probability for the leading Text Arena Math AI model by end of September, reflecting its consistent edge in mathematical reasoning benchmarks and large language model capabilities. OpenAI trails at 14.5% and Google at 5.5% as competitors close capability gaps through iterative releases, while most other labs sit near 0.1% amid limited demonstrated progress in this specialized arena. The market aggregates real-capital trader views on verified performance metrics rather than speculation, with Anthropic's recent model refinements in handling complex problem-solving providing the primary catalyst. New releases or benchmark updates from leading labs over the next six weeks represent the main swing factors that could alter these probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Wolumen
$27,985Data zakończenia
Sep 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 20, 2026, 7:29 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-controlResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment strongly favors Anthropic at 77.5% implied probability for the leading Text Arena Math AI model by end of September, reflecting its consistent edge in mathematical reasoning benchmarks and large language model capabilities. OpenAI trails at 14.5% and Google at 5.5% as competitors close capability gaps through iterative releases, while most other labs sit near 0.1% amid limited demonstrated progress in this specialized arena. The market aggregates real-capital trader views on verified performance metrics rather than speculation, with Anthropic's recent model refinements in handling complex problem-solving providing the primary catalyst. New releases or benchmark updates from leading labs over the next six weeks represent the main swing factors that could alter these probabilities before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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