Anthropic’s dominant 71.5% implied probability stems from its sustained 2026 leadership in agentic AI, including the State of AI Agents and Agentic Coding Trends reports that highlight enterprise deployments of Claude-powered agents, alongside launches like Claude Managed Agents and Claude Code for faster production workflows. These developments have positioned Anthropic ahead in coding-agent benchmarks and multi-agent coordination, outpacing rivals in real-world adoption metrics reported by technical leaders. OpenAI’s lower 18.5% share reflects its enterprise tools such as OpenAI Presence and Codex, which earned Gartner recognition yet trail in recent agent-specific momentum. Other labs remain below 7% as traders weigh slower demonstrated progress against Anthropic’s consistent releases and infrastructure advantages ahead of the September resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoWhich company has the best AI Agent end of September?
Anthropic 72%
OpenAI 19%
SpaceXAI 10.4%
Meta 4.1%
$35,317 Wol.
$35,317 Wol.

Anthropic
72%

OpenAI
19%

SpaceXAI
6%

Meta
4%

Microsoft
3%

MiniMax
2%

Z.ai
1%

Alibaba
1%

1%

Moonshot
1%

DeepSeek
1%

Nvidia
1%

ByteDance
1%

Baidu
1%

Mistral
1%

Meituan
<1%

Amazon
<1%

Xiaomi
<1%
Anthropic 72%
OpenAI 19%
SpaceXAI 10.4%
Meta 4.1%
$35,317 Wol.
$35,317 Wol.

Anthropic
72%

OpenAI
19%

SpaceXAI
6%

Meta
4%

Microsoft
3%

MiniMax
2%

Z.ai
1%

Alibaba
1%

1%

Moonshot
1%

DeepSeek
1%

Nvidia
1%

ByteDance
1%

Baidu
1%

Mistral
1%

Meituan
<1%

Amazon
<1%

Xiaomi
<1%
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Agent Arena Leaderboard found at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 20, 2026, 7:06 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Agent Arena Leaderboard found at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic’s dominant 71.5% implied probability stems from its sustained 2026 leadership in agentic AI, including the State of AI Agents and Agentic Coding Trends reports that highlight enterprise deployments of Claude-powered agents, alongside launches like Claude Managed Agents and Claude Code for faster production workflows. These developments have positioned Anthropic ahead in coding-agent benchmarks and multi-agent coordination, outpacing rivals in real-world adoption metrics reported by technical leaders. OpenAI’s lower 18.5% share reflects its enterprise tools such as OpenAI Presence and Codex, which earned Gartner recognition yet trail in recent agent-specific momentum. Other labs remain below 7% as traders weigh slower demonstrated progress against Anthropic’s consistent releases and infrastructure advantages ahead of the September resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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