Moonshot AI's Kimi K3 model has driven the 76.3% implied probability for second place by topping the Arena.ai Code WebDev leaderboard since its July 2026 release, posting leading human-preference scores around 1,674–1,679 on frontend and agentic coding tasks. The 2.8-trillion-parameter release delivered strong long-horizon repository navigation, 1M-token context, and competitive results against closed models from OpenAI and Anthropic, backed by open-weight availability and efficient API pricing. With only two weeks remaining before end-of-August resolution, traders appear to view sustained leaderboard positioning as the dominant factor, while lower odds for OpenAI, Anthropic, Google, and others reflect their current trailing placements on the same WebDev benchmarks and limited recent gains in public agentic coding evaluations.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoSecond-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of August?
Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of August?
Moonshot 76.5%
Alibaba 13.4%
Anthropic 5.5%
OpenAI 3.5%
$87,682 Wol.
$87,682 Wol.
Aug 31, 2026
Moonshot
77%
Alibaba
13%
Anthropic
6%
OpenAI
4%
DeepSeek
2%
Z.ai
2%
1%
Xiaomi
1%
Meta
<1%
SpaceXAI
<1%
Tencent
<1%
Poolside
<1%
Mistral
<1%
ByteDance
<1%
MiniMax
<1%
Thinky
<1%
Moonshot 76.5%
Alibaba 13.4%
Anthropic 5.5%
OpenAI 3.5%
$87,682 Wol.
$87,682 Wol.
Aug 31, 2026
Moonshot
$26,310 Wol.
77%
Alibaba
$5,418 Wol.
13%
Anthropic
$24,034 Wol.
6%
OpenAI
$9,280 Wol.
4%
DeepSeek
$2,218 Wol.
2%
Z.ai
$4,618 Wol.
2%
$2,156 Wol.
1%
Xiaomi
$1,732 Wol.
1%
Meta
$2,309 Wol.
<1%
SpaceXAI
$4,518 Wol.
<1%
Tencent
$1,123 Wol.
<1%
Poolside
$574 Wol.
<1%
Mistral
$772 Wol.
<1%
ByteDance
$665 Wol.
<1%
MiniMax
$1,295 Wol.
<1%
Thinky
$659 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Labs" is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Moonshot AI's Kimi K3 model has driven the 76.3% implied probability for second place by topping the Arena.ai Code WebDev leaderboard since its July 2026 release, posting leading human-preference scores around 1,674–1,679 on frontend and agentic coding tasks. The 2.8-trillion-parameter release delivered strong long-horizon repository navigation, 1M-token context, and competitive results against closed models from OpenAI and Anthropic, backed by open-weight availability and efficient API pricing. With only two weeks remaining before end-of-August resolution, traders appear to view sustained leaderboard positioning as the dominant factor, while lower odds for OpenAI, Anthropic, Google, and others reflect their current trailing placements on the same WebDev benchmarks and limited recent gains in public agentic coding evaluations.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Labs" is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Rynek otwarty: Jul 20, 2026, 8:25 PM ET
Wolumen
$87,682Data zakończenia
Aug 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 20, 2026, 8:25 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labsResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Labs" is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Moonshot AI's Kimi K3 model has driven the 76.3% implied probability for second place by topping the Arena.ai Code WebDev leaderboard since its July 2026 release, posting leading human-preference scores around 1,674–1,679 on frontend and agentic coding tasks. The 2.8-trillion-parameter release delivered strong long-horizon repository navigation, 1M-token context, and competitive results against closed models from OpenAI and Anthropic, backed by open-weight availability and efficient API pricing. With only two weeks remaining before end-of-August resolution, traders appear to view sustained leaderboard positioning as the dominant factor, while lower odds for OpenAI, Anthropic, Google, and others reflect their current trailing placements on the same WebDev benchmarks and limited recent gains in public agentic coding evaluations.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Labs" is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Wolumen
$87,682Data zakończenia
Aug 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 20, 2026, 8:25 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labsResolver
0x69c47De9D...Moonshot AI's Kimi K3 model has driven the 76.3% implied probability for second place by topping the Arena.ai Code WebDev leaderboard since its July 2026 release, posting leading human-preference scores around 1,674–1,679 on frontend and agentic coding tasks. The 2.8-trillion-parameter release delivered strong long-horizon repository navigation, 1M-token context, and competitive results against closed models from OpenAI and Anthropic, backed by open-weight availability and efficient API pricing. With only two weeks remaining before end-of-August resolution, traders appear to view sustained leaderboard positioning as the dominant factor, while lower odds for OpenAI, Anthropic, Google, and others reflect their current trailing placements on the same WebDev benchmarks and limited recent gains in public agentic coding evaluations.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania