Anthropic's Claude Fable 5 currently tops the Text Arena math subcategory with leading Elo-style scores around 1543, driving the 93% market-implied odds through consistent outperformance in user-voted comparisons on complex reasoning, problem-solving, and STEM prompts. Its edge stems from recent frontier releases emphasizing long-horizon agentic math workflows and strong results on related benchmarks like Humanity's Last Exam. With end-of-August resolution approaching, trader consensus reflects limited room for major leaderboard shifts absent immediate competitor updates. A surprise model drop from OpenAI's GPT-5.6 line or Google that quickly gains arena votes could narrow the gap, though historical patterns suggest such rapid reversals remain unlikely before the deadline.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoWhich company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of August?
Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of August?
Anthropic 93%
OpenAI 5.1%
Google 1.4%
Alibaba <1%
$86,103 Wol.
$86,103 Wol.
Aug 31, 2026
Anthropic
93%
OpenAI
5%
1%
Alibaba
<1%
SpaceXAI
<1%
Baidu
<1%
Z.ai
<1%
Xiaomi
<1%
Moonshot
<1%
Meta
<1%
Nvidia
<1%
DeepSeek
<1%
MiniMax
<1%
Meituan
<1%
Amazon
<1%
Bytedance
<1%
Mistral
<1%
Tencent
<1%
StepFun
<1%
Microsoft
<1%
Anthropic 93%
OpenAI 5.1%
Google 1.4%
Alibaba <1%
$86,103 Wol.
$86,103 Wol.
Aug 31, 2026
Anthropic
$29,094 Wol.
93%
OpenAI
$11,277 Wol.
5%
$17,768 Wol.
1%
Alibaba
$8,793 Wol.
<1%
SpaceXAI
$2,690 Wol.
<1%
Baidu
$4,432 Wol.
<1%
Z.ai
$3,148 Wol.
<1%
Xiaomi
$372 Wol.
<1%
Moonshot
$372 Wol.
<1%
Meta
$494 Wol.
<1%
Nvidia
$1,079 Wol.
<1%
DeepSeek
$2,125 Wol.
<1%
MiniMax
$1,122 Wol.
<1%
Meituan
$553 Wol.
<1%
Amazon
$451 Wol.
<1%
Bytedance
$495 Wol.
<1%
Mistral
$372 Wol.
<1%
Tencent
$564 Wol.
<1%
StepFun
$531 Wol.
<1%
Microsoft
$372 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Anthropic's Claude Fable 5 currently tops the Text Arena math subcategory with leading Elo-style scores around 1543, driving the 93% market-implied odds through consistent outperformance in user-voted comparisons on complex reasoning, problem-solving, and STEM prompts. Its edge stems from recent frontier releases emphasizing long-horizon agentic math workflows and strong results on related benchmarks like Humanity's Last Exam. With end-of-August resolution approaching, trader consensus reflects limited room for major leaderboard shifts absent immediate competitor updates. A surprise model drop from OpenAI's GPT-5.6 line or Google that quickly gains arena votes could narrow the gap, though historical patterns suggest such rapid reversals remain unlikely before the deadline.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Rynek otwarty: Jul 16, 2026, 11:05 PM ET
Wolumen
$86,103Data zakończenia
Aug 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 16, 2026, 11:05 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-controlResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Anthropic's Claude Fable 5 currently tops the Text Arena math subcategory with leading Elo-style scores around 1543, driving the 93% market-implied odds through consistent outperformance in user-voted comparisons on complex reasoning, problem-solving, and STEM prompts. Its edge stems from recent frontier releases emphasizing long-horizon agentic math workflows and strong results on related benchmarks like Humanity's Last Exam. With end-of-August resolution approaching, trader consensus reflects limited room for major leaderboard shifts absent immediate competitor updates. A surprise model drop from OpenAI's GPT-5.6 line or Google that quickly gains arena votes could narrow the gap, though historical patterns suggest such rapid reversals remain unlikely before the deadline.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Wolumen
$86,103Data zakończenia
Aug 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 16, 2026, 11:05 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-controlResolver
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic's Claude Fable 5 currently tops the Text Arena math subcategory with leading Elo-style scores around 1543, driving the 93% market-implied odds through consistent outperformance in user-voted comparisons on complex reasoning, problem-solving, and STEM prompts. Its edge stems from recent frontier releases emphasizing long-horizon agentic math workflows and strong results on related benchmarks like Humanity's Last Exam. With end-of-August resolution approaching, trader consensus reflects limited room for major leaderboard shifts absent immediate competitor updates. A surprise model drop from OpenAI's GPT-5.6 line or Google that quickly gains arena votes could narrow the gap, though historical patterns suggest such rapid reversals remain unlikely before the deadline.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania