The Illinois 2nd congressional district's strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+18 Partisan Voter Index from recent presidential voting, underpins the market's heavy tilt toward the Democratic nominee following the March 17 primary. Cook County Commissioner Donna Miller emerged as the Democratic standard-bearer in an open-seat race after incumbent Robin Kelly pursued a Senate bid, defeating a crowded field that included Jesse Jackson Jr. Republican nominee Michael Noack advanced unopposed. Nonpartisan analysts have rated the general election on November 3 as Solid or Safe Democratic based on the district's consistent performance and structural advantages. A major scandal involving the Democratic candidate or an unexpected surge in Republican turnout could still narrow the margin, though such shifts remain uncommon in this environment.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoIL-02 House Election Winner
IL-02 House Election Winner
$30,930 Wol.
$30,930 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
4%
$30,930 Wol.
$30,930 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$12,425 Wol.
95%
Republican Party
$18,505 Wol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Illinois 2nd congressional district's strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+18 Partisan Voter Index from recent presidential voting, underpins the market's heavy tilt toward the Democratic nominee following the March 17 primary. Cook County Commissioner Donna Miller emerged as the Democratic standard-bearer in an open-seat race after incumbent Robin Kelly pursued a Senate bid, defeating a crowded field that included Jesse Jackson Jr. Republican nominee Michael Noack advanced unopposed. Nonpartisan analysts have rated the general election on November 3 as Solid or Safe Democratic based on the district's consistent performance and structural advantages. A major scandal involving the Democratic candidate or an unexpected surge in Republican turnout could still narrow the margin, though such shifts remain uncommon in this environment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
Wolumen
$30,930Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Illinois 2nd congressional district's strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+18 Partisan Voter Index from recent presidential voting, underpins the market's heavy tilt toward the Democratic nominee following the March 17 primary. Cook County Commissioner Donna Miller emerged as the Democratic standard-bearer in an open-seat race after incumbent Robin Kelly pursued a Senate bid, defeating a crowded field that included Jesse Jackson Jr. Republican nominee Michael Noack advanced unopposed. Nonpartisan analysts have rated the general election on November 3 as Solid or Safe Democratic based on the district's consistent performance and structural advantages. A major scandal involving the Democratic candidate or an unexpected surge in Republican turnout could still narrow the margin, though such shifts remain uncommon in this environment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$30,930Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Illinois 2nd congressional district's strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+18 Partisan Voter Index from recent presidential voting, underpins the market's heavy tilt toward the Democratic nominee following the March 17 primary. Cook County Commissioner Donna Miller emerged as the Democratic standard-bearer in an open-seat race after incumbent Robin Kelly pursued a Senate bid, defeating a crowded field that included Jesse Jackson Jr. Republican nominee Michael Noack advanced unopposed. Nonpartisan analysts have rated the general election on November 3 as Solid or Safe Democratic based on the district's consistent performance and structural advantages. A major scandal involving the Democratic candidate or an unexpected surge in Republican turnout could still narrow the margin, though such shifts remain uncommon in this environment.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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