South Dakota's at-large congressional district maintains a pronounced Republican tilt rooted in consistent statewide voting patterns and a PVI of R+15. With the open seat following incumbent Dusty Johnson's decision not to seek re-election, the Republican primary scheduled for June 2 features frontrunner Marty Jackley holding double-digit leads in recent surveys over challengers such as James Bialota. Democratic nominee Nicole Gronli faces limited fundraising and structural headwinds in a state where recent presidential results favored Republicans by nearly 30 points. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as safe Republican, though an unusually strong national Democratic surge or unforeseen primary outcome could still narrow the margin before November 3.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoSD-AL House Election Winner
SD-AL House Election Winner
$16,931 Wol.
$16,931 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
93%
Democratic Party
5%
$16,931 Wol.
$16,931 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$9,474 Wol.
93%
Democratic Party
$7,457 Wol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SD-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).South Dakota's at-large congressional district maintains a pronounced Republican tilt rooted in consistent statewide voting patterns and a PVI of R+15. With the open seat following incumbent Dusty Johnson's decision not to seek re-election, the Republican primary scheduled for June 2 features frontrunner Marty Jackley holding double-digit leads in recent surveys over challengers such as James Bialota. Democratic nominee Nicole Gronli faces limited fundraising and structural headwinds in a state where recent presidential results favored Republicans by nearly 30 points. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as safe Republican, though an unusually strong national Democratic surge or unforeseen primary outcome could still narrow the margin before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SD-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Wolumen
$16,931Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SD-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).South Dakota's at-large congressional district maintains a pronounced Republican tilt rooted in consistent statewide voting patterns and a PVI of R+15. With the open seat following incumbent Dusty Johnson's decision not to seek re-election, the Republican primary scheduled for June 2 features frontrunner Marty Jackley holding double-digit leads in recent surveys over challengers such as James Bialota. Democratic nominee Nicole Gronli faces limited fundraising and structural headwinds in a state where recent presidential results favored Republicans by nearly 30 points. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as safe Republican, though an unusually strong national Democratic surge or unforeseen primary outcome could still narrow the margin before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SD-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$16,931Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...South Dakota's at-large congressional district maintains a pronounced Republican tilt rooted in consistent statewide voting patterns and a PVI of R+15. With the open seat following incumbent Dusty Johnson's decision not to seek re-election, the Republican primary scheduled for June 2 features frontrunner Marty Jackley holding double-digit leads in recent surveys over challengers such as James Bialota. Democratic nominee Nicole Gronli faces limited fundraising and structural headwinds in a state where recent presidential results favored Republicans by nearly 30 points. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as safe Republican, though an unusually strong national Democratic surge or unforeseen primary outcome could still narrow the margin before November 3.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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