Trever Nehls secured the Republican nomination for Texas's 22nd congressional district with a strong primary win, positioning him as the clear favorite in this open-seat race. The district, covering southwest Houston suburbs across Harris, Fort Bend, and Brazoria counties, has consistently supported Republican candidates, including double-digit margins for Donald Trump and the prior incumbent in 2024. Forecasters rate the seat solid or safe Republican, aligning with the current trader consensus. Marquette Greene-Scott advanced as the Democratic nominee but faces structural headwinds in a district with limited recent competitive general-election history. The November 3 general election remains the key resolution trigger, though late developments such as turnout shifts or national political changes would be needed to meaningfully alter the outlook.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoTX-22 House Election Winner
TX-22 House Election Winner
$26,538 Wol.
$26,538 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Trever Nehls (R)
93%
Marquette Greene-Scott (D)
8%
$26,538 Wol.
$26,538 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Trever Nehls (R)
$16,949 Wol.
93%
Marquette Greene-Scott (D)
$9,589 Wol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trever Nehls secured the Republican nomination for Texas's 22nd congressional district with a strong primary win, positioning him as the clear favorite in this open-seat race. The district, covering southwest Houston suburbs across Harris, Fort Bend, and Brazoria counties, has consistently supported Republican candidates, including double-digit margins for Donald Trump and the prior incumbent in 2024. Forecasters rate the seat solid or safe Republican, aligning with the current trader consensus. Marquette Greene-Scott advanced as the Democratic nominee but faces structural headwinds in a district with limited recent competitive general-election history. The November 3 general election remains the key resolution trigger, though late developments such as turnout shifts or national political changes would be needed to meaningfully alter the outlook.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Wolumen
$26,538Data zakończenia
Nov 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trever Nehls secured the Republican nomination for Texas's 22nd congressional district with a strong primary win, positioning him as the clear favorite in this open-seat race. The district, covering southwest Houston suburbs across Harris, Fort Bend, and Brazoria counties, has consistently supported Republican candidates, including double-digit margins for Donald Trump and the prior incumbent in 2024. Forecasters rate the seat solid or safe Republican, aligning with the current trader consensus. Marquette Greene-Scott advanced as the Democratic nominee but faces structural headwinds in a district with limited recent competitive general-election history. The November 3 general election remains the key resolution trigger, though late developments such as turnout shifts or national political changes would be needed to meaningfully alter the outlook.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$26,538Data zakończenia
Nov 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...Trever Nehls secured the Republican nomination for Texas's 22nd congressional district with a strong primary win, positioning him as the clear favorite in this open-seat race. The district, covering southwest Houston suburbs across Harris, Fort Bend, and Brazoria counties, has consistently supported Republican candidates, including double-digit margins for Donald Trump and the prior incumbent in 2024. Forecasters rate the seat solid or safe Republican, aligning with the current trader consensus. Marquette Greene-Scott advanced as the Democratic nominee but faces structural headwinds in a district with limited recent competitive general-election history. The November 3 general election remains the key resolution trigger, though late developments such as turnout shifts or national political changes would be needed to meaningfully alter the outlook.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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