The strongly Democratic tilt of California's 11th Congressional District, centered in San Francisco with 64 percent Democratic voter registration, underpins trader consensus at 94.5 percent for the Democratic nominee in the 2026 general election. Nancy Pelosi's retirement after four decades in the seat opened a crowded June 2 primary featuring multiple Democratic contenders, including state Senator Scott Wiener and Supervisor Connie Chan, while Republican candidates have secured minimal fundraising and visibility. No recent polling shifts or events have narrowed the general election gap. An unforeseen scandal involving the Democratic nominee or an unanticipated surge in Republican turnout could still influence the November outcome, though the district's structural partisan fundamentals limit such possibilities.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoCA-11 House Election Winner
CA-11 House Election Winner
NOWE
NOWE
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
6%
NOWE
NOWE
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$3,127 Wol.
95%
Republican Party
$921 Wol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The strongly Democratic tilt of California's 11th Congressional District, centered in San Francisco with 64 percent Democratic voter registration, underpins trader consensus at 94.5 percent for the Democratic nominee in the 2026 general election. Nancy Pelosi's retirement after four decades in the seat opened a crowded June 2 primary featuring multiple Democratic contenders, including state Senator Scott Wiener and Supervisor Connie Chan, while Republican candidates have secured minimal fundraising and visibility. No recent polling shifts or events have narrowed the general election gap. An unforeseen scandal involving the Democratic nominee or an unanticipated surge in Republican turnout could still influence the November outcome, though the district's structural partisan fundamentals limit such possibilities.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
Wolumen
$4,048Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The strongly Democratic tilt of California's 11th Congressional District, centered in San Francisco with 64 percent Democratic voter registration, underpins trader consensus at 94.5 percent for the Democratic nominee in the 2026 general election. Nancy Pelosi's retirement after four decades in the seat opened a crowded June 2 primary featuring multiple Democratic contenders, including state Senator Scott Wiener and Supervisor Connie Chan, while Republican candidates have secured minimal fundraising and visibility. No recent polling shifts or events have narrowed the general election gap. An unforeseen scandal involving the Democratic nominee or an unanticipated surge in Republican turnout could still influence the November outcome, though the district's structural partisan fundamentals limit such possibilities.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$4,048Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The strongly Democratic tilt of California's 11th Congressional District, centered in San Francisco with 64 percent Democratic voter registration, underpins trader consensus at 94.5 percent for the Democratic nominee in the 2026 general election. Nancy Pelosi's retirement after four decades in the seat opened a crowded June 2 primary featuring multiple Democratic contenders, including state Senator Scott Wiener and Supervisor Connie Chan, while Republican candidates have secured minimal fundraising and visibility. No recent polling shifts or events have narrowed the general election gap. An unforeseen scandal involving the Democratic nominee or an unanticipated surge in Republican turnout could still influence the November outcome, though the district's structural partisan fundamentals limit such possibilities.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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