Incumbent Republican John Carter secured his party's nomination in the March 2026 primary with roughly 60 percent of the vote in Texas's 31st congressional district, facing Democratic nominee Justin Early and a minor-party candidate in the November general election. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as solidly Republican based on its consistent partisan lean and historical margins exceeding 20 points in recent cycles. With Carter's long tenure since 2003 and the district's voter base favoring Republican candidates, traders assign the party an 85 percent implied probability of retaining the House seat. No major polling shifts or unexpected developments have altered this outlook in recent months.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoTX-31 House Election Winner
TX-31 House Election Winner
$14,261 Wol.
$14,261 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
85%
Democratic Party
16%
$14,261 Wol.
$14,261 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$8,990 Wol.
85%
Democratic Party
$5,271 Wol.
16%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican John Carter secured his party's nomination in the March 2026 primary with roughly 60 percent of the vote in Texas's 31st congressional district, facing Democratic nominee Justin Early and a minor-party candidate in the November general election. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as solidly Republican based on its consistent partisan lean and historical margins exceeding 20 points in recent cycles. With Carter's long tenure since 2003 and the district's voter base favoring Republican candidates, traders assign the party an 85 percent implied probability of retaining the House seat. No major polling shifts or unexpected developments have altered this outlook in recent months.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Wolumen
$14,261Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican John Carter secured his party's nomination in the March 2026 primary with roughly 60 percent of the vote in Texas's 31st congressional district, facing Democratic nominee Justin Early and a minor-party candidate in the November general election. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as solidly Republican based on its consistent partisan lean and historical margins exceeding 20 points in recent cycles. With Carter's long tenure since 2003 and the district's voter base favoring Republican candidates, traders assign the party an 85 percent implied probability of retaining the House seat. No major polling shifts or unexpected developments have altered this outlook in recent months.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$14,261Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican John Carter secured his party's nomination in the March 2026 primary with roughly 60 percent of the vote in Texas's 31st congressional district, facing Democratic nominee Justin Early and a minor-party candidate in the November general election. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as solidly Republican based on its consistent partisan lean and historical margins exceeding 20 points in recent cycles. With Carter's long tenure since 2003 and the district's voter base favoring Republican candidates, traders assign the party an 85 percent implied probability of retaining the House seat. No major polling shifts or unexpected developments have altered this outlook in recent months.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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