Trader consensus heavily favors Democrats at 89.5% implied probability to win California's 28th Congressional District House seat, reflecting the district's D+14 Cook Partisan Voting Index and Solid Democratic ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Incumbent Rep. Judy Chu (D), first elected in 2009, seeks re-election with dominant fundraising—$3.7 million cash on hand as of March 31—following her 64.9% general election and 62.7% primary victories last cycle. The district, encompassing Pasadena and San Gabriel Valley, continues recovery from January's Eaton Fire, where Chu has led response efforts. Minimal Republican challengers like April Verlato signal low competitiveness ahead of the June 2 top-two primary, though a strong GOP primary upset could narrow odds.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoCA-28 House Election Winner
CA-28 House Election Winner
$67,576 Wol.
$67,576 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
90%
Republican Party
11%
$67,576 Wol.
$67,576 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$37,262 Wol.
90%
Republican Party
$30,313 Wol.
11%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus heavily favors Democrats at 89.5% implied probability to win California's 28th Congressional District House seat, reflecting the district's D+14 Cook Partisan Voting Index and Solid Democratic ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Incumbent Rep. Judy Chu (D), first elected in 2009, seeks re-election with dominant fundraising—$3.7 million cash on hand as of March 31—following her 64.9% general election and 62.7% primary victories last cycle. The district, encompassing Pasadena and San Gabriel Valley, continues recovery from January's Eaton Fire, where Chu has led response efforts. Minimal Republican challengers like April Verlato signal low competitiveness ahead of the June 2 top-two primary, though a strong GOP primary upset could narrow odds.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
Wolumen
$67,576Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus heavily favors Democrats at 89.5% implied probability to win California's 28th Congressional District House seat, reflecting the district's D+14 Cook Partisan Voting Index and Solid Democratic ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Incumbent Rep. Judy Chu (D), first elected in 2009, seeks re-election with dominant fundraising—$3.7 million cash on hand as of March 31—following her 64.9% general election and 62.7% primary victories last cycle. The district, encompassing Pasadena and San Gabriel Valley, continues recovery from January's Eaton Fire, where Chu has led response efforts. Minimal Republican challengers like April Verlato signal low competitiveness ahead of the June 2 top-two primary, though a strong GOP primary upset could narrow odds.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$67,576Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors Democrats at 89.5% implied probability to win California's 28th Congressional District House seat, reflecting the district's D+14 Cook Partisan Voting Index and Solid Democratic ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Incumbent Rep. Judy Chu (D), first elected in 2009, seeks re-election with dominant fundraising—$3.7 million cash on hand as of March 31—following her 64.9% general election and 62.7% primary victories last cycle. The district, encompassing Pasadena and San Gabriel Valley, continues recovery from January's Eaton Fire, where Chu has led response efforts. Minimal Republican challengers like April Verlato signal low competitiveness ahead of the June 2 top-two primary, though a strong GOP primary upset could narrow odds.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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