Incumbent Rep. Roger Williams (R) dominates trader consensus at 86% implied probability to retain TX-25, a solidly Republican district with Cook PVI R+11, bolstered by his unopposed March primary victory, history of landslide margins—including 99% in 2024—and $1.1 million cash-on-hand edge as of late March. Dione Sims (D), who won the April 9 Democratic primary runoff 61%-39% over William Marks, trails at 11% amid fundraising disparities and no competitive polling. No major developments have emerged in the past 30 days, leaving the race on track for November 3 amid national midterm dynamics that could influence turnout in this battleground-leaning safe seat.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoTX-25 House Election Winner
TX-25 House Election Winner
NOWE
NOWE
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
86%
Democratic Party
11%
NOWE
NOWE
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$2,192 Wol.
86%
Democratic Party
$1,394 Wol.
11%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Roger Williams (R) dominates trader consensus at 86% implied probability to retain TX-25, a solidly Republican district with Cook PVI R+11, bolstered by his unopposed March primary victory, history of landslide margins—including 99% in 2024—and $1.1 million cash-on-hand edge as of late March. Dione Sims (D), who won the April 9 Democratic primary runoff 61%-39% over William Marks, trails at 11% amid fundraising disparities and no competitive polling. No major developments have emerged in the past 30 days, leaving the race on track for November 3 amid national midterm dynamics that could influence turnout in this battleground-leaning safe seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Wolumen
$3,586Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Roger Williams (R) dominates trader consensus at 86% implied probability to retain TX-25, a solidly Republican district with Cook PVI R+11, bolstered by his unopposed March primary victory, history of landslide margins—including 99% in 2024—and $1.1 million cash-on-hand edge as of late March. Dione Sims (D), who won the April 9 Democratic primary runoff 61%-39% over William Marks, trails at 11% amid fundraising disparities and no competitive polling. No major developments have emerged in the past 30 days, leaving the race on track for November 3 amid national midterm dynamics that could influence turnout in this battleground-leaning safe seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$3,586Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Roger Williams (R) dominates trader consensus at 86% implied probability to retain TX-25, a solidly Republican district with Cook PVI R+11, bolstered by his unopposed March primary victory, history of landslide margins—including 99% in 2024—and $1.1 million cash-on-hand edge as of late March. Dione Sims (D), who won the April 9 Democratic primary runoff 61%-39% over William Marks, trails at 11% amid fundraising disparities and no competitive polling. No major developments have emerged in the past 30 days, leaving the race on track for November 3 amid national midterm dynamics that could influence turnout in this battleground-leaning safe seat.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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