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Polityka·Wybory Globalne

Zwycięzca wyborów stanowych w Berlinie

icon for Zwycięzca wyborów stanowych w Berlinie
Polityka·Wybory Globalne

Zwycięzca wyborów stanowych w Berlinie

CDU 35%

Zieloni 20.9%

Linke 20%

AfD 19.1%

Polymarket

$2,596,140 Wol.

CDU 35%

Zieloni 20.9%

Linke 20%

AfD 19.1%

Polymarket

$2,596,140 Wol.

icon for CDU

CDU

$18,437 Wol.

35%

icon for Zieloni

Zieloni

$30,429 Wol.

21%

icon for Linke

Linke

$14,444 Wol.

20%

icon for AfD

AfD

$2,194,620 Wol.

19%

icon for SPD

SPD

$290,985 Wol.

7%

icon for BSW

BSW

$28,019 Wol.

<1%

icon for FDP

FDP

$11,303 Wol.

<1%

icon for FW

FW

$7,904 Wol.

<1%

Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election. If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/) Trader consensus favors CDU with 35.5% implied probability to win the most seats in Berlin's September 20 Abgeordnetenhaus election, driven by consistent polling leads despite a tightening race. The latest Infratest dimap survey (April 23–27) shows CDU at 19%, edging Grüne, Linke, and AfD—all at 18%—while SPD slips to 14% amid governing CDU-SPD coalition struggles over housing shortages, crime spikes, and budget disputes. Earlier INSA polling (April 7–14) had CDU at 21% with SPD at 17%, but recent gains for left-leaning parties reflect voter shifts in Berlin's proportional representation system. No new polls since late April keep CDU ahead, though upcoming campaign events and potential referendums could shift the fragmented field.

Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.

This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.

If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the case of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.

This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Wolumen
$2,596,140
Data zakończenia
Sep 20, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Dec 2, 2025, 6:34 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election. If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election. If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/) Trader consensus favors CDU with 35.5% implied probability to win the most seats in Berlin's September 20 Abgeordnetenhaus election, driven by consistent polling leads despite a tightening race. The latest Infratest dimap survey (April 23–27) shows CDU at 19%, edging Grüne, Linke, and AfD—all at 18%—while SPD slips to 14% amid governing CDU-SPD coalition struggles over housing shortages, crime spikes, and budget disputes. Earlier INSA polling (April 7–14) had CDU at 21% with SPD at 17%, but recent gains for left-leaning parties reflect voter shifts in Berlin's proportional representation system. No new polls since late April keep CDU ahead, though upcoming campaign events and potential referendums could shift the fragmented field.

Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.

This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.

If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the case of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.

This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Wolumen
$2,596,140
Data zakończenia
Sep 20, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Dec 2, 2025, 6:34 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election. If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)

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