Skip to main content

Aby handlować w USA, wejdź na polymarket.us

icon for Zwycięzca wyborów stanowych w Berlinie

Zwycięzca wyborów stanowych w Berlinie

icon for Zwycięzca wyborów stanowych w Berlinie

Zwycięzca wyborów stanowych w Berlinie

Linke 99.6%

CDU <1%

AfD <1%

Zieloni <1%

Polymarket

$4,483,618 Wol.

Linke 99.6%

CDU <1%

AfD <1%

Zieloni <1%

Polymarket

$4,483,618 Wol.

icon for Linke

Linke

$632,442 Wol.

100%

icon for CDU

CDU

$458,790 Wol.

<1%

icon for AfD

AfD

$2,611,971 Wol.

<1%

icon for Zieloni

Zieloni

$248,556 Wol.

<1%

icon for SPD

SPD

$447,232 Wol.

<1%

icon for FDP

FDP

$20,953 Wol.

<1%

icon for FW

FW

$15,172 Wol.

<1%

icon for BSW

BSW

$48,502 Wol.

<1%

Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election. If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/) The September 20 Berlin Abgeordnetenhaus election delivered preliminary results showing Die Linke with the largest vote share at roughly 25.7 percent, more than doubling its 2023 performance and outpacing the CDU at 18.8 percent, AfD at 16.3 percent, Grüne at 14.3 percent, and SPD at 12.1 percent. This commanding lead stems from voter priorities on housing affordability, elevated turnout near 75 percent, and erosion of support for the prior CDU-SPD coalition. Trader consensus at 99.7 percent for Linke reflects the scale of the margin in both votes and projected seats. Only substantial revisions in the final certified tally, unexpected shifts in seat allocation under Berlin’s electoral rules, or successful legal challenges could alter the outcome before market resolution.

Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.

This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.

If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the case of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.

This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election. If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Wolumen
$4,483,618
Data zakończenia
Sep 20, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Dec 2, 2025, 6:34 AM ET

Rozstrzygający

0x2F5e3684c...

Wynik zaproponowany: Nie

Zakwestionowany

Ostateczny spór

Ostateczny

Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election. If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/) The September 20 Berlin Abgeordnetenhaus election delivered preliminary results showing Die Linke with the largest vote share at roughly 25.7 percent, more than doubling its 2023 performance and outpacing the CDU at 18.8 percent, AfD at 16.3 percent, Grüne at 14.3 percent, and SPD at 12.1 percent. This commanding lead stems from voter priorities on housing affordability, elevated turnout near 75 percent, and erosion of support for the prior CDU-SPD coalition. Trader consensus at 99.7 percent for Linke reflects the scale of the margin in both votes and projected seats. Only substantial revisions in the final certified tally, unexpected shifts in seat allocation under Berlin’s electoral rules, or successful legal challenges could alter the outcome before market resolution.

Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.

This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.

If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the case of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.

This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election. If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Wolumen
$4,483,618
Data zakończenia
Sep 20, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Dec 2, 2025, 6:34 AM ET

Rozstrzygający

0x2F5e3684c...

Wynik zaproponowany: Nie

Zakwestionowany

Ostateczny spór

Ostateczny

Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.

Często zadawane pytania

"Zwycięzca wyborów stanowych w Berlinie" to rynek prognoz na Polymarket z 8 możliwymi wynikami, gdzie traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały na podstawie tego, co ich zdaniem się wydarzy. Obecny wiodący wynik to "Linke" z 100%, za nim "CDU" z 0%. Ceny odzwierciedlają zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwa w czasie rzeczywistym. Na przykład udział wyceniony na 100¢ implikuje, że rynek zbiorowo przypisuje 100% szansy na ten wynik. Te kursy zmieniają się ciągle, gdy traderzy reagują na nowe informacje. Udziały w poprawnym wyniku można wymienić na $1 za sztukę po rozstrzygnięciu rynku.

Na dzień dzisiejszy "Zwycięzca wyborów stanowych w Berlinie" wygenerował $4.5 million łącznego wolumenu od uruchomienia rynku Dec 2, 2025. Ten poziom aktywności handlowej odzwierciedla silne zaangażowanie społeczności Polymarket i pomaga zapewnić, że bieżące kursy są informowane przez głęboką pulę uczestników rynku. Możesz śledzić ruchy cen na żywo i handlować na dowolny wynik bezpośrednio na tej stronie.

Aby handlować na "Zwycięzca wyborów stanowych w Berlinie", przeglądaj 8 dostępnych wyników na tej stronie. Każdy wynik wyświetla bieżącą cenę reprezentującą implikowane prawdopodobieństwo rynku. Aby zająć pozycję, wybierz wynik, który uważasz za najbardziej prawdopodobny, wybierz "Tak", aby handlować na jego korzyść, lub "Nie", aby handlować przeciw niemu, wpisz kwotę i kliknij "Handluj". Jeśli wybrany wynik okaże się poprawny, Twoje udziały "Tak" wypłacą $1 za sztukę. Jeśli jest niepoprawny, wypłacą $0. Możesz też sprzedać swoje udziały w dowolnym momencie przed rozstrzygnięciem.

Obecnym faworytem dla "Zwycięzca wyborów stanowych w Berlinie" jest "Linke" z 100%, co oznacza, że rynek przypisuje 100% szansy na ten wynik. Następny najbliższy wynik to "CDU" z 0%. Te kursy aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym, gdy traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały, odzwierciedlając najnowszy zbiorowy pogląd na to, co jest najbardziej prawdopodobne. Sprawdzaj regularnie lub dodaj tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić zmiany kursów.

Zasady rozstrzygania "Zwycięzca wyborów stanowych w Berlinie" określają dokładnie, co musi się wydarzyć, aby każdy wynik został ogłoszony zwycięzcą — w tym oficjalne źródła danych używane do ustalenia wyniku. Możesz przejrzeć pełne kryteria rozstrzygania w sekcji "Zasady" na tej stronie nad komentarzami. Zalecamy dokładne zapoznanie się z zasadami przed handlem, ponieważ określają one precyzyjne warunki, przypadki graniczne i źródła regulujące rozstrzyganie tego rynku.