Israel's Knesset dissolved on July 17, 2026, locking in legislative elections for October 27 under the four-year term limit, the first scheduled vote after a full parliamentary cycle in decades. Coalition statements and parliamentary committee actions in July confirmed adherence to this date despite earlier discussions of advancing polls by weeks. With campaigns underway and candidate list deadlines approaching in September, trader consensus reflects the absence of viable mechanisms or broad support for further delays or accelerations. Potential disruptors remain limited to sudden major security escalations or unexpected coalition fractures capable of triggering early dissolution, though none have materialized in the current window.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano95% szansa
NOWE
NOWE
Oct 27, 2026
95% szansa
NOWE
NOWE
Oct 27, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if general voting in the election for the 26th Knesset takes place in Israel on October 27, 2026.
For the purposes of this market, "general voting" means nationwide election-day voting open to eligible voters across Israel.
This market will still resolve to "Yes" if voting is postponed, cancelled, or disrupted in a limited number of individual localities or polling stations, so long as nationwide voting proceeds on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to "No" if nationwide Knesset voting occurs before October 27, 2026 (e.g., due to a snap election), or October 27, 2026 passes without nationwide Knesset voting having occurred (e.g., due to nationwide postponement).
Early or special voting mechanisms that occur before election day (e.g., voting by soldiers or citizens abroad) will not affect resolution. Only the date of general election-day voting counts.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Israel's Knesset dissolved on July 17, 2026, locking in legislative elections for October 27 under the four-year term limit, the first scheduled vote after a full parliamentary cycle in decades. Coalition statements and parliamentary committee actions in July confirmed adherence to this date despite earlier discussions of advancing polls by weeks. With campaigns underway and candidate list deadlines approaching in September, trader consensus reflects the absence of viable mechanisms or broad support for further delays or accelerations. Potential disruptors remain limited to sudden major security escalations or unexpected coalition fractures capable of triggering early dissolution, though none have materialized in the current window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if general voting in the election for the 26th Knesset takes place in Israel on October 27, 2026.
For the purposes of this market, "general voting" means nationwide election-day voting open to eligible voters across Israel.
This market will still resolve to "Yes" if voting is postponed, cancelled, or disrupted in a limited number of individual localities or polling stations, so long as nationwide voting proceeds on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to "No" if nationwide Knesset voting occurs before October 27, 2026 (e.g., due to a snap election), or October 27, 2026 passes without nationwide Knesset voting having occurred (e.g., due to nationwide postponement).
Early or special voting mechanisms that occur before election day (e.g., voting by soldiers or citizens abroad) will not affect resolution. Only the date of general election-day voting counts.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, "general voting" means nationwide election-day voting open to eligible voters across Israel.
This market will still resolve to "Yes" if voting is postponed, cancelled, or disrupted in a limited number of individual localities or polling stations, so long as nationwide voting proceeds on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to "No" if nationwide Knesset voting occurs before October 27, 2026 (e.g., due to a snap election), or October 27, 2026 passes without nationwide Knesset voting having occurred (e.g., due to nationwide postponement).
Early or special voting mechanisms that occur before election day (e.g., voting by soldiers or citizens abroad) will not affect resolution. Only the date of general election-day voting counts.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 20, 2026, 7:43 PM ET
Wolumen
$2,283Data zakończenia
Oct 27, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 20, 2026, 7:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if general voting in the election for the 26th Knesset takes place in Israel on October 27, 2026.
For the purposes of this market, "general voting" means nationwide election-day voting open to eligible voters across Israel.
This market will still resolve to "Yes" if voting is postponed, cancelled, or disrupted in a limited number of individual localities or polling stations, so long as nationwide voting proceeds on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to "No" if nationwide Knesset voting occurs before October 27, 2026 (e.g., due to a snap election), or October 27, 2026 passes without nationwide Knesset voting having occurred (e.g., due to nationwide postponement).
Early or special voting mechanisms that occur before election day (e.g., voting by soldiers or citizens abroad) will not affect resolution. Only the date of general election-day voting counts.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Israel's Knesset dissolved on July 17, 2026, locking in legislative elections for October 27 under the four-year term limit, the first scheduled vote after a full parliamentary cycle in decades. Coalition statements and parliamentary committee actions in July confirmed adherence to this date despite earlier discussions of advancing polls by weeks. With campaigns underway and candidate list deadlines approaching in September, trader consensus reflects the absence of viable mechanisms or broad support for further delays or accelerations. Potential disruptors remain limited to sudden major security escalations or unexpected coalition fractures capable of triggering early dissolution, though none have materialized in the current window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if general voting in the election for the 26th Knesset takes place in Israel on October 27, 2026.
For the purposes of this market, "general voting" means nationwide election-day voting open to eligible voters across Israel.
This market will still resolve to "Yes" if voting is postponed, cancelled, or disrupted in a limited number of individual localities or polling stations, so long as nationwide voting proceeds on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to "No" if nationwide Knesset voting occurs before October 27, 2026 (e.g., due to a snap election), or October 27, 2026 passes without nationwide Knesset voting having occurred (e.g., due to nationwide postponement).
Early or special voting mechanisms that occur before election day (e.g., voting by soldiers or citizens abroad) will not affect resolution. Only the date of general election-day voting counts.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, "general voting" means nationwide election-day voting open to eligible voters across Israel.
This market will still resolve to "Yes" if voting is postponed, cancelled, or disrupted in a limited number of individual localities or polling stations, so long as nationwide voting proceeds on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to "No" if nationwide Knesset voting occurs before October 27, 2026 (e.g., due to a snap election), or October 27, 2026 passes without nationwide Knesset voting having occurred (e.g., due to nationwide postponement).
Early or special voting mechanisms that occur before election day (e.g., voting by soldiers or citizens abroad) will not affect resolution. Only the date of general election-day voting counts.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Wolumen
$2,283Data zakończenia
Oct 27, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 20, 2026, 7:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Israel's Knesset dissolved on July 17, 2026, locking in legislative elections for October 27 under the four-year term limit, the first scheduled vote after a full parliamentary cycle in decades. Coalition statements and parliamentary committee actions in July confirmed adherence to this date despite earlier discussions of advancing polls by weeks. With campaigns underway and candidate list deadlines approaching in September, trader consensus reflects the absence of viable mechanisms or broad support for further delays or accelerations. Potential disruptors remain limited to sudden major security escalations or unexpected coalition fractures capable of triggering early dissolution, though none have materialized in the current window.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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